Page 3 of 15 FirstFirst 123456713 ... LastLast
Results 31 to 45 of 225

Thread: My election prediction!

  1. #31 | Top
    Join Date
    Jun 2018
    Location
    Dirty South
    Posts
    63,304
    Thanks
    6,234
    Thanked 13,410 Times in 10,039 Posts
    Groans
    2
    Groaned 2,947 Times in 2,728 Posts

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Sailor View Post
    Democrats still will though. Probably even more. They are going to want that free shit immediately.
    Donald Trump lied to your fat, stupid face about the threat of COVID, and you believed him because you're an idiot.
    When I die, turn me into a brick and use me to cave in the skull of a fascist


  2. The Following User Groans At LV426 For This Awful Post:

    cancel2 2022 (09-22-2020)

  3. #32 | Top
    Join Date
    Jul 2006
    Posts
    93,665
    Thanks
    9,767
    Thanked 33,628 Times in 21,489 Posts
    Groans
    290
    Groaned 5,632 Times in 5,140 Posts
    Blog Entries
    5

    Default

    Only one point so far, there might be riots and voters might blame Biden. That’s all you guys got?

    I’m growing more confident...
    4,487

    18 U.S. Code § 2071 - Concealment, removal, or mutilation generally
    44 U.S.C. 2202 - The United States shall reserve and retain complete ownership, possession, and control of Presidential records; and such records shall be administered in accordance with the provisions of this chapter.


    LOCK HIM UP!

  4. #33 | Top
    Join Date
    Apr 2009
    Posts
    16,140
    Thanks
    10,960
    Thanked 19,494 Times in 9,086 Posts
    Groans
    1,448
    Groaned 1,427 Times in 1,256 Posts

    Default

    This election is Biden's to lose! I hope he is boning up for the debate too?!!


  5. The Following User Says Thank You to signalmankenneth For This Post:

    PoliTalker (09-22-2020)

  6. #34 | Top
    Join Date
    Nov 2016
    Posts
    41,961
    Thanks
    3
    Thanked 22,041 Times in 13,848 Posts
    Groans
    0
    Groaned 3,042 Times in 2,838 Posts

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Jarod View Post
    I do not consider myself very much of a political prognosticator, I have been wrong as much as I am correct. I was wrong in 2016 and that has made me more careful.

    However, I have been studying this years election and where we are and I have been asked to offer a prediction..... Until now I have held off because I did not think it was reasonable to make a prediction because it has been nothing but a shot in the dark, but I think I am ready to say that we have enough evidence to make a guess with a reasonable degree of likelihood that will be correct.

    The polling this year is very unusually consistent, and that makes it a lot different than in 2016. Most Americans have made their mind up about Donald Trump and more recently seem to have rejected the idea that Joe Biden is suffering from some form of dementia. Biden, in the eyes of many is a reasonable alternative.

    With a majority of voters seeming to have decided that Trump is not a good choice and that Biden is an acceptable one, and Biden polling over 50% in enough states to put his electoral vote count above 270 (This occured last week.) I think my prediction is solid. Arizona, Minnesota, Michigan and Wisconsin seem to have come safely into the Biden collum. Florida, Pennsylvania and North Carolina are all three tossups, with Pennsylvania leaning toward Biden. Since both candidates are already very well known by the voters. I am ready to say that unless something unforeseen occurs that changes the dynamic of this race (it might happen) Joe Biden and Kamilla Harris will be elected President and Vice President of the United States of America in 43 days.

    There are still the debates, and maybe Biden will come out and step on his dick, or maybe Trump* has a huge October surprise that will come out, but like I said, if the fundamentals do not change Biden wins.

    I was going to post this over the weekend, but decided to wait and consider if I felt the death of Ruth Bader Ginsberg would affect the outcome. I have thought about it, and read some thoughts of experts and talked to people I respect and I believe it will not fundamentally change the outcome, and if it does... it has just as much a chance of helping Biden as it does of helping Trump*.

    I am happy to discuss...

    Change my mind?!?!?!?
    If the election were held today, I might agree with your prediction, however, it isn't, and even a month can be an eternity in politics

    Regardless of the polls, Trump has a lot of advantages, he is the incumbent, he is willing to do anything to win including enlisting elements of the Federal Gov't, legal or illegal, to aid him, which we have seen has already starting with Barr and Johnson, and, he surely has the aid of foreign entities, and why not, they know they won't be penalized but even defending by a major political party and news network

    All of that becomes important cause I don't think Trump is anticipating winning the election, rather the post election, if mail in voting prevents a declared winner that night, which is a strong possibility, Trump is already set to litigate the hell of what follows planning that eventually it reaches the Supreme Court and Bret and Neil deliver as scripted

    Too many unknown variables

  7. #35 | Top
    Join Date
    Sep 2009
    Posts
    107,358
    Thanks
    5
    Thanked 19 Times in 18 Posts
    Groans
    0
    Groaned 2 Times in 2 Posts

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Brad* View Post
    I do not consider myself very much of a political prognosticator, I have been wrong as much as I am correct.?
    Quote Originally Posted by Brad* View Post
    Gov. Cuomo will be president.

  8. #36 | Top
    Join Date
    Dec 2016
    Posts
    34,576
    Thanks
    5,715
    Thanked 15,145 Times in 10,539 Posts
    Groans
    100
    Groaned 2,987 Times in 2,752 Posts
    Blog Entries
    5

    Default

    Biden slays Dump
    yuge gains in a deep blue house
    Dems squeak away with Senate majority

  9. The Following 2 Users Say Thank You to Micawber For This Post:

    Jarod (09-21-2020), PoliTalker (09-22-2020)

  10. #37 | Top
    Join Date
    Feb 2014
    Posts
    11,390
    Thanks
    476
    Thanked 4,028 Times in 3,012 Posts
    Groans
    398
    Groaned 234 Times in 225 Posts

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Jarod View Post
    I would like to hear a compelling argument about why I am wrong, I always like to learn.

    Do you think you are wrong?

  11. #38 | Top
    Join Date
    Sep 2009
    Posts
    107,358
    Thanks
    5
    Thanked 19 Times in 18 Posts
    Groans
    0
    Groaned 2 Times in 2 Posts

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Joe Hiden View Post
    Do you think you are wrong?
    When has he been right?

  12. #39 | Top
    Join Date
    Jul 2006
    Posts
    93,665
    Thanks
    9,767
    Thanked 33,628 Times in 21,489 Posts
    Groans
    290
    Groaned 5,632 Times in 5,140 Posts
    Blog Entries
    5

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Joe Hiden View Post
    Do you think you are wrong?
    Can’t you read?
    4,487

    18 U.S. Code § 2071 - Concealment, removal, or mutilation generally
    44 U.S.C. 2202 - The United States shall reserve and retain complete ownership, possession, and control of Presidential records; and such records shall be administered in accordance with the provisions of this chapter.


    LOCK HIM UP!

  13. #40 | Top
    Join Date
    Jul 2006
    Posts
    93,665
    Thanks
    9,767
    Thanked 33,628 Times in 21,489 Posts
    Groans
    290
    Groaned 5,632 Times in 5,140 Posts
    Blog Entries
    5

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by archives View Post
    If the election were held today, I might agree with your prediction, however, it isn't, and even a month can be an eternity in politics

    Regardless of the polls, Trump has a lot of advantages, he is the incumbent, he is willing to do anything to win including enlisting elements of the Federal Gov't, legal or illegal, to aid him, which we have seen has already starting with Barr and Johnson, and, he surely has the aid of foreign entities, and why not, they know they won't be penalized but even defending by a major political party and news network

    All of that becomes important cause I don't think Trump is anticipating winning the election, rather the post election, if mail in voting prevents a declared winner that night, which is a strong possibility, Trump is already set to litigate the hell of what follows planning that eventually it reaches the Supreme Court and Bret and Neil deliver as scripted

    Too many unknown variables
    These are valid points but if Biden wins by 8 points I don’t think Trump can overcome that.
    4,487

    18 U.S. Code § 2071 - Concealment, removal, or mutilation generally
    44 U.S.C. 2202 - The United States shall reserve and retain complete ownership, possession, and control of Presidential records; and such records shall be administered in accordance with the provisions of this chapter.


    LOCK HIM UP!

  14. The Following User Says Thank You to Jarod For This Post:

    PoliTalker (09-22-2020)

  15. #41 | Top
    Join Date
    Sep 2009
    Posts
    107,358
    Thanks
    5
    Thanked 19 Times in 18 Posts
    Groans
    0
    Groaned 2 Times in 2 Posts

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Brad* View Post
    These are valid points but if Biden wins by 8 points I don’t think Trump can overcome that.
    Didn't you predict that HRC would win?

  16. #42 | Top
    Join Date
    Feb 2014
    Posts
    11,390
    Thanks
    476
    Thanked 4,028 Times in 3,012 Posts
    Groans
    398
    Groaned 234 Times in 225 Posts

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Jarod View Post
    Can’t you read?
    Very well. Why do you want to be told you are wrong?

    You will find out in November.

    But I am glad I was able to make you make a prediction

  17. #43 | Top
    Join Date
    Jul 2006
    Posts
    93,665
    Thanks
    9,767
    Thanked 33,628 Times in 21,489 Posts
    Groans
    290
    Groaned 5,632 Times in 5,140 Posts
    Blog Entries
    5

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Joe Hiden View Post
    Very well. Why do you want to be told you are wrong?

    You will find out in November.

    But I am glad I was able to make you make a prediction
    You did not make me, I always planned to do so when it became a reasonable thing to do....

    I am interested in if anyone has a compelling argument as to why I might be wrong. I don’t think I am wrong but if I am I’d like to see if anyone can explain what evidence I missed.
    4,487

    18 U.S. Code § 2071 - Concealment, removal, or mutilation generally
    44 U.S.C. 2202 - The United States shall reserve and retain complete ownership, possession, and control of Presidential records; and such records shall be administered in accordance with the provisions of this chapter.


    LOCK HIM UP!

  18. #44 | Top
    Join Date
    Dec 2016
    Posts
    34,576
    Thanks
    5,715
    Thanked 15,145 Times in 10,539 Posts
    Groans
    100
    Groaned 2,987 Times in 2,752 Posts
    Blog Entries
    5

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by LV426 View Post
    Donald Trump lied to your fat, stupid face about the threat of COVID, and you believed him because you're an idiot.
    Yes, but he is also poor, ill and alone, so he has that going for him. And he votes Trump.

  19. The Following User Says Thank You to Micawber For This Post:

    Jarod (09-21-2020)

  20. #45 | Top
    Join Date
    Jul 2006
    Posts
    93,665
    Thanks
    9,767
    Thanked 33,628 Times in 21,489 Posts
    Groans
    290
    Groaned 5,632 Times in 5,140 Posts
    Blog Entries
    5

    Default

    So, it seems that the Trumper’s are penning their hopes on the idea that maybe the Democrats will riot, and maybe the voters will blame Biden for that. Is there anything else?
    4,487

    18 U.S. Code § 2071 - Concealment, removal, or mutilation generally
    44 U.S.C. 2202 - The United States shall reserve and retain complete ownership, possession, and control of Presidential records; and such records shall be administered in accordance with the provisions of this chapter.


    LOCK HIM UP!

Similar Threads

  1. Election day scam prediction
    By Evmetro in forum General Politics Forum
    Replies: 29
    Last Post: 11-27-2020, 11:56 AM
  2. MAJOR ELECTION PREDICTION: See it here
    By canceled.2021.3 in forum Current Events Forum
    Replies: 3
    Last Post: 08-24-2020, 06:53 AM
  3. My prediction for the results in this election
    By FUCK THE POLICE in forum Current Events Forum
    Replies: 29
    Last Post: 11-06-2018, 09:46 AM
  4. APP - My Election Prediction
    By canceled.2021.2 in forum Above Plain Politics Forum
    Replies: 19
    Last Post: 11-09-2016, 06:52 AM
  5. Grind Election Prediction
    By BRUTALITOPS in forum Current Events Forum
    Replies: 2
    Last Post: 11-01-2008, 01:19 AM

Bookmarks

Posting Rules

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •