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Thread: My election prediction!

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    Quote Originally Posted by Brad* View Post
    I figured.
    Did you?

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    Quote Originally Posted by Legion View Post
    Well, there are all those mail-in ballots and voter registration forms floating around. Some guy's dead cat even got one.

    https://www.fox5atlanta.com/news/dec...on-in-the-mail
    How come I can't thank that post? This is odd..

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    Still nothing but trying to get voters to blame Biden for riots?
    4,487

    18 U.S. Code § 2071 - Concealment, removal, or mutilation generally
    44 U.S.C. 2202 - The United States shall reserve and retain complete ownership, possession, and control of Presidential records; and such records shall be administered in accordance with the provisions of this chapter.


    LOCK HIM UP!

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    Quote Originally Posted by Jarod View Post
    Wow, not a one of em is willing to try to argue that this is wrong.
    You used yourself as a source then want people to tell you how wrong that is? We know why you will vote for Biden. He's an Obama nl just like you and he picked a wannabe black whore.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Frank Apisa View Post
    I hope you are correct, Jarod.

    But I am not making any predictions, because NOTHING would surprise me at this point.

    I will say this, though: Trump would happily tear down the United States if he loses. Make no mistake about it...he would leave destruction in his wake as he leaves.
    You're so fucking stupid you think burn loot and murder is a unifying force. You're too stupid to even engage

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    Still no logical basis to argue against my prediction! Love it!
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    18 U.S. Code § 2071 - Concealment, removal, or mutilation generally
    44 U.S.C. 2202 - The United States shall reserve and retain complete ownership, possession, and control of Presidential records; and such records shall be administered in accordance with the provisions of this chapter.


    LOCK HIM UP!

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    Quote Originally Posted by Yakuda View Post
    You're so fucking stupid you think burn loot and murder is a unifying force. You're too stupid to even engage
    Yet here you are...engaging with me.

    Yeah, you are a genius with a post like that one.

    Fucking moron!

    I love to engage with morons. They are fun to set in motion. They provide laughs.
    ON HIS WORST DAY, JOE BIDEN IS A BETTER PRESIDENT THAN TRUMP WAS ON HIS BEST DAY!

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    Quote Originally Posted by Frank Apisa View Post
    Yet here you are...engaging with me.

    Yeah, you are a genius with a post like that one.

    Fucking moron!

    I love to engage with morons. They are fun to set in motion. They provide laughs.
    So you DO think Burn Loot Murder is a unifying force. My apologies for calling you a moron. That's offensive to morons. You're a cockroach.

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    Quote Originally Posted by ExpressLane View Post
    The coming hissy fit riots over the SCOTUS will turn many undecided and on the fence voters it will be a loser for the Dems and will gain them nothing.
    Can't wait to see what Feinstein pulls this time. If anything like Kav she'll find some old h.s. classmate of the nominee claiming she was a big slut.

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    Quote Originally Posted by anonymoose View Post
    Can't wait to see what Feinstein pulls this time. If anything like Kav she'll find some old h.s. classmate of the nominee claiming she was a big slut.
    Feinstein bullying and threatening Murkowski, has her trapped and backed up against the wall. Imagine if a man did this to a woman.

    "I mean, you got the first mainstream African-American who is articulate and bright and clean and a nice-looking guy. I mean, that's a storybook, man."
    — Joe Biden on Obama.

    Socialism is just the modern word for monarchy.

    D.C. has become a Guild System with an hierarchy and line of accession much like the Royal Court or priestly classes.

    Private citizens are perfectly able of doing a better job without "apprenticing".

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    Quote Originally Posted by Jarod View Post
    I do not consider myself very much of a political prognosticator, I have been wrong as much as I am correct. I was wrong in 2016 and that has made me more careful.

    However, I have been studying this years election and where we are and I have been asked to offer a prediction..... Until now I have held off because I did not think it was reasonable to make a prediction because it has been nothing but a shot in the dark, but I think I am ready to say that we have enough evidence to make a guess with a reasonable degree of likelihood that will be correct.

    The polling this year is very unusually consistent, and that makes it a lot different than in 2016. Most Americans have made their mind up about Donald Trump and more recently seem to have rejected the idea that Joe Biden is suffering from some form of dementia. Biden, in the eyes of many is a reasonable alternative.

    With a majority of voters seeming to have decided that Trump is not a good choice and that Biden is an acceptable one, and Biden polling over 50% in enough states to put his electoral vote count above 270 (This occured last week.) I think my prediction is solid. Arizona, Minnesota, Michigan and Wisconsin seem to have come safely into the Biden collum. Florida, Pennsylvania and North Carolina are all three tossups, with Pennsylvania leaning toward Biden. Since both candidates are already very well known by the voters. I am ready to say that unless something unforeseen occurs that changes the dynamic of this race (it might happen) Joe Biden and Kamilla Harris will be elected President and Vice President of the United States of America in 43 days.

    There are still the debates, and maybe Biden will come out and step on his dick, or maybe Trump* has a huge October surprise that will come out, but like I said, if the fundamentals do not change Biden wins.

    I was going to post this over the weekend, but decided to wait and consider if I felt the death of Ruth Bader Ginsberg would affect the outcome. I have thought about it, and read some thoughts of experts and talked to people I respect and I believe it will not fundamentally change the outcome, and if it does... it has just as much a chance of helping Biden as it does of helping Trump*.

    I am happy to discuss...

    Change my mind?!?!?!?
    This won't change your mind and it is foolish to even try to pass off like you can have your mind changed. But, I will comment on your analysis. It is sophomoric and lacking in any political sophistication.

    It isn't even a prediction. You are merely parroting polls (anyone can do that) and you are saying you are listening to others "you respect". So essentially, you aren't able to form your own thought process. You have provided yourself an out because you will say "well I guess the polls were wrong" therefore you weren't wrong.

    If this is the type of sophisticated legal thinking one can expect in one of your legal briefs, I feel very sorry for your clients that you gouge for 40%

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    Quote Originally Posted by Joe Hiden View Post
    This won't change your mind and it is foolish to even try to pass off like you can have your mind changed. But, I will comment on your analysis. It is sophomoric and lacking in any political sophistication.

    It isn't even a prediction. You are merely parroting polls (anyone can do that) and you are saying you are listening to others "you respect". So essentially, you aren't able to form your own thought process. You have provided yourself an out because you will say "well I guess the polls were wrong" therefore you weren't wrong.

    If this is the type of sophisticated legal thinking one can expect in one of your legal briefs, I feel very sorry for your clients that you gouge for 40%
    Predicting election results is not something I go in for ever, particularly in a country as weird as the United States, but what method other than public opinion polls do you favour - divine revelation perhaps? Republicans do seem like a revival of flat-earthers, witch-hunters with a very strong tang of Hitlerite. Funny lot!

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    Hello Jarod,

    Quote Originally Posted by Jarod View Post
    I do not consider myself very much of a political prognosticator, I have been wrong as much as I am correct. I was wrong in 2016 and that has made me more careful.

    However, I have been studying this years election and where we are and I have been asked to offer a prediction..... Until now I have held off because I did not think it was reasonable to make a prediction because it has been nothing but a shot in the dark, but I think I am ready to say that we have enough evidence to make a guess with a reasonable degree of likelihood that will be correct.

    The polling this year is very unusually consistent, and that makes it a lot different than in 2016. Most Americans have made their mind up about Donald Trump and more recently seem to have rejected the idea that Joe Biden is suffering from some form of dementia. Biden, in the eyes of many is a reasonable alternative.

    With a majority of voters seeming to have decided that Trump is not a good choice and that Biden is an acceptable one, and Biden polling over 50% in enough states to put his electoral vote count above 270 (This occured last week.) I think my prediction is solid. Arizona, Minnesota, Michigan and Wisconsin seem to have come safely into the Biden collum. Florida, Pennsylvania and North Carolina are all three tossups, with Pennsylvania leaning toward Biden. Since both candidates are already very well known by the voters. I am ready to say that unless something unforeseen occurs that changes the dynamic of this race (it might happen) Joe Biden and Kamilla Harris will be elected President and Vice President of the United States of America in 43 days.

    There are still the debates, and maybe Biden will come out and step on his dick, or maybe Trump* has a huge October surprise that will come out, but like I said, if the fundamentals do not change Biden wins.

    I was going to post this over the weekend, but decided to wait and consider if I felt the death of Ruth Bader Ginsberg would affect the outcome. I have thought about it, and read some thoughts of experts and talked to people I respect and I believe it will not fundamentally change the outcome, and if it does... it has just as much a chance of helping Biden as it does of helping Trump*.

    I am happy to discuss...

    Change my mind?!?!?!?
    I hope you're right.

    It certainly looks that way.

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    Hello Jarod,

    Quote Originally Posted by Jarod View Post
    I would like to hear a compelling argument about why I am wrong, I always like to learn.
    There hasn't been a compelling argument from a Trump supporter, *ever*.

    Why should any of that change now?
    Personal Ignore Policy PIP: I like civil discourse. I will give you all the respect in the world if you respect me. Mouth off to me, or express overt racism, you will be PERMANENTLY Ignore Listed. Zero tolerance. No exceptions. I'll never read a word you write, even if quoted by another, nor respond to you, nor participate in your threads. ... Ignore the shallow. Cherish the thoughtful. Long Live Civil Discourse, Mutual Respect, and Good Debate! ps: Feel free to adopt my PIP. It works well.

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    Hello signalmankenneth,

    Quote Originally Posted by signalmankenneth View Post
    This election is Biden's to lose! I hope he is boning up for the debate too?!!

    .........MASKA.........

    Make America Spread Killer Antigens
    Personal Ignore Policy PIP: I like civil discourse. I will give you all the respect in the world if you respect me. Mouth off to me, or express overt racism, you will be PERMANENTLY Ignore Listed. Zero tolerance. No exceptions. I'll never read a word you write, even if quoted by another, nor respond to you, nor participate in your threads. ... Ignore the shallow. Cherish the thoughtful. Long Live Civil Discourse, Mutual Respect, and Good Debate! ps: Feel free to adopt my PIP. It works well.

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