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Thread: My election prediction!

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    Quote Originally Posted by Jarod View Post
    All you got are feelings and hopes. You are kinda pitiful.
    I know your gambit. You think you are going to goad me into a prediction. You were already on record saying you wouldn't make a prediction this year. I proved that.


    Anything else you say is irrelevant. If you think your analysis is sound then run with it. I think it is amateurish, but you were probably graded on a curve in college. I on the other hand, was the curve

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    Quote Originally Posted by Damocles View Post
    I'll point out a few things.

    1. The same polls as last time are saying the same thing as this time... The polls predicted a Hillary electoral victory, and not by a nose...
    2. When I see the energy difference between a Biden function and the Trump functions it is like watching Obama's functions against Romney's...
    3. I do see folks that have left Biden and went to Trump. I see few that went the other direction.

    Now I don't predict a Trump win because I know that there are folks like me that would vote for Jo Jorgensen. But I do see a repetitive spiel here.
    THIS

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    Quote Originally Posted by Joe Hiden View Post
    If you think your analysis is sound then run with it. I think it is amateurish, but you were probably graded on a curve in college.
    There are professors at Nova Southeastern law school who would substantiate that assessment.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Damocles View Post
    I'll point out a few things.

    1. The same polls as last time are saying the same thing as this time... The polls predicted a Hillary electoral victory, and not by a nose...
    2. When I see the energy difference between a Biden function and the Trump functions it is like watching Obama's functions against Romney's...
    3. I do see folks that have left Biden and went to Trump. I see few that went the other direction.

    Now I don't predict a Trump win because I know that there are folks like me that would vote for Jo Jorgensen. But I do see a repetitive spiel here.
    Finally some actual data driven analysis. To your points.. 1. I understand what you are saying about the polls this time saying the same thing as last time, but I see a difference in several ways. This time it is incredibly consistent, there has been very little movement, last time they were wildly up and down. Last time neither candidate had been president and so people had much less of a fixed idea of how they would serve. Finally, Trump is an incumbent and generally the undecided move away from the incumbent in the end. Now, I would be very interested in your perspective on these points and as I said, I am willing to discuss and could be convinced. 2. I will give you that it appears that Trump* has the energy on his side, but remember Nixon's silent majority? And you cant tell me that a lot of people are very motivated to get rid of Trump*. 3. Purely anecdotal, but I have seen people who voted Trump* last time moving to Biden, but I have not seen anyone who voted Hillary move to Trump.
    4,487

    18 U.S. Code § 2071 - Concealment, removal, or mutilation generally
    44 U.S.C. 2202 - The United States shall reserve and retain complete ownership, possession, and control of Presidential records; and such records shall be administered in accordance with the provisions of this chapter.


    LOCK HIM UP!

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    Quote Originally Posted by Joe Hiden View Post
    I know your gambit. You think you are going to goad me into a prediction. You were already on record saying you wouldn't make a prediction this year. I proved that.


    Anything else you say is irrelevant. If you think your analysis is sound then run with it. I think it is amateurish, but you were probably graded on a curve in college. I on the other hand, was the curve
    You already made a prediction. I dont care if you do it again or not.
    4,487

    18 U.S. Code § 2071 - Concealment, removal, or mutilation generally
    44 U.S.C. 2202 - The United States shall reserve and retain complete ownership, possession, and control of Presidential records; and such records shall be administered in accordance with the provisions of this chapter.


    LOCK HIM UP!

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    Quote Originally Posted by Joe Hiden View Post
    THIS
    Damocles is more fact and data driven than you, its why he is not voting for Trump*. You don't have the brain to make a data driven argument.
    4,487

    18 U.S. Code § 2071 - Concealment, removal, or mutilation generally
    44 U.S.C. 2202 - The United States shall reserve and retain complete ownership, possession, and control of Presidential records; and such records shall be administered in accordance with the provisions of this chapter.


    LOCK HIM UP!

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    Quote Originally Posted by Legion View Post
    There are professors at Nova Southeastern law school who would substantiate that assessment.
    And, now I know you think you know something that you do not know. Not NOVA!
    4,487

    18 U.S. Code § 2071 - Concealment, removal, or mutilation generally
    44 U.S.C. 2202 - The United States shall reserve and retain complete ownership, possession, and control of Presidential records; and such records shall be administered in accordance with the provisions of this chapter.


    LOCK HIM UP!

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    Quote Originally Posted by Brad* View Post
    Damocles is more fact and data driven than you, its why he is not voting for Trump*. You don't have the brain to make a data driven argument.
    Damocles cited no data in his post, Brad*.

    Quote Originally Posted by Damocles View Post
    I'll point out a few things.

    1. The same polls as last time are saying the same thing as this time... The polls predicted a Hillary electoral victory, and not by a nose...
    2. When I see the energy difference between a Biden function and the Trump functions it is like watching Obama's functions against Romney's...
    3. I do see folks that have left Biden and went to Trump. I see few that went the other direction.

    Now I don't predict a Trump win because I know that there are folks like me that would vote for Jo Jorgensen. But I do see a repetitive spiel here.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Brad* View Post
    And, now I know you think you know something that you do not know. Not NOVA!
    That's where Bruce Rogow teaches, Brad*.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Legion View Post
    That's where Bruce Rogow teaches, Brad*.
    Bruce Rogow has been a visiting professor at several Florida law schools.
    4,487

    18 U.S. Code § 2071 - Concealment, removal, or mutilation generally
    44 U.S.C. 2202 - The United States shall reserve and retain complete ownership, possession, and control of Presidential records; and such records shall be administered in accordance with the provisions of this chapter.


    LOCK HIM UP!

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    Quote Originally Posted by Jarod View Post
    You already made a prediction. I dont care if you do it again or not.
    No I didn't

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    Quote Originally Posted by Joe Hiden View Post
    No I didn't
    Run, Run, Run...
    4,487

    18 U.S. Code § 2071 - Concealment, removal, or mutilation generally
    44 U.S.C. 2202 - The United States shall reserve and retain complete ownership, possession, and control of Presidential records; and such records shall be administered in accordance with the provisions of this chapter.


    LOCK HIM UP!

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    Quote Originally Posted by Jarod View Post
    Damocles is more fact and data driven than you, its why he is not voting for Trump*. You don't have the brain to make a data driven argument.
    you are too funny

    why don't you try the "double dog dare ya"?

    Have you see all of the analysis I have done breaking down bogus polls? That is being data driven you dumb fuck. Unlike you I am smart enough to dig into the polls and understand the methodology and the internals. All you can do is parrot the top line numbers with no in depth analysis. If that is what passes for fact driven in your world then have at it.

    You are barking up the wrong tree with me puddin

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    Quote Originally Posted by Brad* View Post
    Bruce Rogow has been a visiting professor at several Florida law schools.
    I know you aren't very bright (from personal experience, I might add), but ask your housekeeper or your wife to read this and explain what it means to you, if they can:

    Quote Originally Posted by Legion View Post
    There are professors at Nova Southeastern law school who would substantiate that assessment.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Joe Hiden View Post
    you are too funny
    There wasn't a scrap of "data" in Damocles' post.

    Brad* doesn't know what data is, apparently. I'm not surprised.

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