Senate Republicans hold 53 Senate seats to Democrats 47. They would need 4 Republicans to cross the isle.
Seems unlikely, but there may be hope. This could get interesting.
Lots of Republican Senators are facing difficult elections where they need to appease the middle to get reelected.
4 is a possibility. Actually 7 is a possibility: Colorado, Maine, Alaska, Utah, North Carolina, and Arizona are all possible to cross the line. Some of these people face difficult decisions which could affect their own chances of reelection
Some Republican Senators are in States where Biden is leading in the polls, setting up a coat-tails effect which threatens their chances at retaining their seats.
Republican Senator Cory Gardner of Colorado:
"Four years ago, Gardner said that a Supreme Court vacancy in February 2016 should not be filled by President Barack Obama because the Democrat was in his final year as president: “I think we’re too close to the election. The president who is elected in November should be the one who makes this decision,” Gardner said then."
In first appearance after Ginsburg’s death, Gardner declines to say when justice should be replaced
Gardner faces ex Governor John Hickenlooper, who is popular there. Biden is strongly favored in
Colorado polling. Biden +10 over Trump.
Republican Senator Martha McSally of Arizona
McSally faces Democrat Mark Kelly, astronaut and husband of Rep Gabby Giffords who was the victim of a well publicized mass shooting attack.
Kelly leads McSally by
+6.7
Biden also leads in Arizona:
Biden +5.0 (rcp average)
Republican Senator Susan Collins of Maine is trailing Democrat Sara Gideon by a strong margin:
Gideon +6.2
Biden leads Trump heavily in
Maine: Biden +13.8
Republican Senator Thom Tillis of North Carolina is also trailing in the polls.
rcp average currently shows Democrat Cal Cunningham favored:
Cunningham +3.6
Biden is favored in NC by a slim margin of +0.9, a race where Tillis does not want to alienate the middle.
Republican Senators Lisa Murkowski of Alaska and
Mitt Romney of Utah have rarely bought into Trump's cult. Either or both of them could vote against even bringing a nomination to the floor.
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