Reply With QuoteDoc Dutch (08-18-2020), LeeDog (08-17-2020), signalmankenneth (08-17-2020), Trumpet (08-17-2020)
Never Again
Trump Has Only 12% Chance of Winning Election
Donald Trump's chances of victory in the November election are slim, with the likelihood of him winning the popular vote even less probable, according to the latest forecast from The Economist.
The model from the weekly magazine currently projects that Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden is "very likely to beat" Trump on November 3. The president has only a 1 in 7 (or 12 percent) chance of winning in the Electoral College and just a 1 in 20 (or 3 percent) chance of winning the most votes nationwide. The forecast predicts that the president will garner just 193 electoral votes.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/polit...ts/ar-BB183hKB
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Doc Dutch (08-18-2020), LeeDog (08-17-2020), signalmankenneth (08-17-2020), Trumpet (08-17-2020)
Verified User
What were his chances against the talking pig in a pant suit?Originally Posted by guno
Matt Dillon (08-19-2020)
Senior Member
I have to admit that I have never before heard "absolutely certain" referred to as "chances are slim."
... because we know how crucial the popular vote is. Why Presidential candidates focus so heavily on the electoral college is beyond me. I'm glad to see that at least you understand what's important.
Oh yeah. The entire country is chomping at the bit to vote for Biden, especially now that Kamala Harris' likeability has been added to the ticket.
It's kind of like the percentage of people who will actually fall for this.
Trump will win with more than 300 electoral votes.
Matt Dillon (08-19-2020)
High Level of Addiction
Keep believing in those left wing polls Gunga Din.
Matt Dillon (08-19-2020)
Verified User
trumpets.jpg
Senior Member
That whole notion of leftists needing someone to do their thinking for them really becomes illuminated in the light of memes being all they have contribute.
Have you not been authorized to say anything? Has the DNC not given you a speaking role?
Global Warming violates the 1st LoT by claiming a magical creation of thermal energy out of nothing, in the form of a temperature increase, which is somehow caused by a magical substance.
Greenhouse Effect violates Stefan-Boltzmann and black body science by claiming that an increase in earth's temperature is somehow caused by a decrease in earth's radiance.
Greenhouse Effect violates the 2nd LoT by claiming that the cooler atmosphere somehow heats the warmer earth's surface.
Verified User
Keep cavalierly ignoring them and you may learn the hard way. Those are not left-wing.
Guno צְבִי (08-18-2020)
Verified User
It is scary that trump, a complete and utter selfish incompetent jerk who fucked up everything he touched, still has a 1 in 8 chance of winning.
Guno צְבִי (08-18-2020), Port Tack (08-20-2020)
High Level of Addiction
Like I did in 2016?
Doc Dutch (08-18-2020), Matt Dillon (08-19-2020)
Verified User
Take care - you'll be encouraging them out there in their caves. To Trumpers 12%, being more than the sum of their fingers and toes, is an infinite number!
Tranquillus in Exile (08-18-2020)
Honoring my oath
Thanks for the link. I think Trump has a greater chance of winning than 12% due to the fact this is more about the "D" and the "R" votes than Trump the Nutjob-in-Chief. Even if Trump did win, as slim as that might be, I think Pence and the Republicans would ease him out of office with the 25th Amendment, maybe even before the Inauguration.
"Hatred is a failure of imagination" - Graham Greene, "The Power and the Glory"
Guno צְבִי (08-18-2020)
Honoring my oath
Here's the cold reality facing the nation:
Notice the ~40% who don't vote and the relatively small percentages of party members.
IMO, this election will turn on three main factors (in no particular order):
- How many of the previous "non-voters" decide to suddenly show up
- Which way the majority of Independents go
- How many party members decide or are forced to sit it out.
High Level of Addiction
I agree and this year with covid19 I expect a much smaller turnout at the polls. I even ordered an absentee ballot. 1st time since my active duty days.Here's the cold reality facing the nation:
Notice the ~40% who don't vote and the relatively small percentages of party members.
IMO, this election will turn on three main factors (in no particular order):
- How many of the previous "non-voters" decide to suddenly show up
- Which way the majority of Independents go
- How many party members decide or are forced to sit it out.
Doc Dutch (08-18-2020)
Honoring my oath
Good. I haven't done so since, living in a rural area, early voting is easy. Plus the odds are both my wife and I have already had it... but haven't been tested.
Verified User
????? How does anyone know what you did then, and why does that matter?
Last edited by Nordberg; 08-18-2020 at 11:35 AM.
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