Verified User
2020 prediction from professor who called every election since 1984
The professor famous for accurately predicting the winner of every presidential election since 1984 has issued his verdict for 2020: Joe Biden will defeat President Trump.
American University Professor Allan Lichtman uses a system he created of 13 "keys" that decide who will win the White House. In 2016, Lichtman was one of the few forecasters who said Mr. Trump would be the next president — and he also predicted that Trump would be impeached. Four years after those calls, he foresees a Biden victory in November.
"The keys predict that Trump will lose the White House," Lichtman says in a New York Times video op-ed released Wednesday.
https://www.yahoo.com/news/2020-pred...181001596.html
Charoite (08-07-2020), christiefan915 (08-07-2020), Doc Dutch (08-06-2020), Guno צְבִי (08-05-2020), moon (08-08-2020), Phantasmal (08-08-2020), PoliTalker (08-07-2020)
Verified User
Trump Virus.
Trump Economy.
Trump Social Unrest.
Yeah, no shit.
Earl (08-07-2020)
Guno צְבִי (08-06-2020)
Malarkeyville
Wow, no gop armchair generals coming to clear this UP???
Prob not, they know it's gonna happen..........
He was Jesus' choice I thought??
"There is no question former President Trump bears moral responsibility. His supporters stormed the Capitol because of the unhinged falsehoods he shouted into the world’s largest megaphone," McConnell wrote. "His behavior during and after the chaos was also unconscionable, from attacking Vice President Mike Pence during the riot to praising the criminals after it ended."
Leftist Vermin
The sad and weak efforts we see here on JPP of the few remaining StormTroopers4Trump vanguard is a microcosm of the defeat that is to come. The Toadstool is reduced to die-hard racists, fundie morons, and ammosexuals. The rest of the adults in this country are dealing with a pandemic, and economic meltdown, and unprecedented loss of personal freedom.
Stand back, kids. We grown-ups got this.
"Conservatism is the blind and fear-filled worship of dead radicals." -- Mark Twain
cancel2 2022 (08-06-2020)
AProudLefty (08-06-2020), Charoite (08-07-2020), Guno צְבִי (08-06-2020), moon (08-08-2020), Phantasmal (08-08-2020)
Malarkeyville
Originally Posted by ThatOwlWoman
"There is no question former President Trump bears moral responsibility. His supporters stormed the Capitol because of the unhinged falsehoods he shouted into the world’s largest megaphone," McConnell wrote. "His behavior during and after the chaos was also unconscionable, from attacking Vice President Mike Pence during the riot to praising the criminals after it ended."
Honoring my oath
Excellent track record. I like his "13 keys".
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/who-got...tag=YHF4eb9d17
Lichtman says his 13 keys to predicting the results of the presidential election are simply ways of “mathematically and specifically” measuring that performance. They are: (1) incumbent-party mandate, (2) incumbency, (3) third party, (4) short-term economy, (5) long-term economy, (6) nomination contest, (7) policy change, (8) scandal, (9) social unrest, (10) foreign or military success, (11) foreign or military failure, (12) incumbent charisma, and (13) challenge charisma.
"Hatred is a failure of imagination" - Graham Greene, "The Power and the Glory"
Guno צְבִי (08-06-2020), Phantasmal (08-08-2020), PoliTalker (08-07-2020)
Althea told me...........
Isn't this the guy who claimed trump would win just a few months ago?The professor famous for accurately predicting the winner of every presidential election since 1984 has issued his verdict for 2020: Joe Biden will defeat President Trump.
American University Professor Allan Lichtman uses a system he created of 13 "keys" that decide who will win the White House. In 2016, Lichtman was one of the few forecasters who said Mr. Trump would be the next president — and he also predicted that Trump would be impeached. Four years after those calls, he foresees a Biden victory in November.
"The keys predict that Trump will lose the White House," Lichtman says in a New York Times video op-ed released Wednesday.
https://www.yahoo.com/news/2020-pred...181001596.html
Granted, a lot has happened since then
Once in a while you get shown the light, in the strangest of places if you look at it right.
PoliTalker (08-07-2020)
Verified User
Same guy.
Black Kitty Ain't Happy
Who could have predicted covid-19?
Althea (08-07-2020)
It's OK to Be White
And the things that happened won't last in people's minds long. People vote based on character, not issues or policies.
Canceled
Many a slip twixt cup and lip, have you heard that before?
Canceled
Gloat away Bill, I can see trouble ahead.
Malarkeyville
nope
"There is no question former President Trump bears moral responsibility. His supporters stormed the Capitol because of the unhinged falsehoods he shouted into the world’s largest megaphone," McConnell wrote. "His behavior during and after the chaos was also unconscionable, from attacking Vice President Mike Pence during the riot to praising the criminals after it ended."
Malarkeyville
In what manner am I gloating??
"There is no question former President Trump bears moral responsibility. His supporters stormed the Capitol because of the unhinged falsehoods he shouted into the world’s largest megaphone," McConnell wrote. "His behavior during and after the chaos was also unconscionable, from attacking Vice President Mike Pence during the riot to praising the criminals after it ended."
Althea told me...........
I'd argue that they knew who trump was in '16, but voted for the lies about his policies and issues. I've always said that the market was way up under trump, but the economy was pretty steady for the last 10 years. trumpkins disagreed. Now we have a market that has recovered to a great extent, but the economy is in serious trouble. Not only because of Covid, but trump's foreign/trade policies. A perfect illustration of the difference between the market and the economy.
If Covid didn't happen, and the economy continued along the path it was on, he would get re elected. Despite kids in cages. Despite his overtly racist pledges to 'protect the suburbs'.
I think Gary Hart was the last candidate that suffered character issues. Perhaps Edwards a few years ago.
Once in a while you get shown the light, in the strangest of places if you look at it right.
christiefan915 (08-07-2020), Phantasmal (08-08-2020), PoliTalker (08-07-2020)
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