"When government fears the people, there is liberty. When the people fear the government, there is tyranny."
A lie doesn't become the truth, wrong doesn't become right, and evil doesn't become good just because it is accepted by a majority.
Author: Booker T. Washington
"When government fears the people, there is liberty. When the people fear the government, there is tyranny."
A lie doesn't become the truth, wrong doesn't become right, and evil doesn't become good just because it is accepted by a majority.
Author: Booker T. Washington
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"When government fears the people, there is liberty. When the people fear the government, there is tyranny."
A lie doesn't become the truth, wrong doesn't become right, and evil doesn't become good just because it is accepted by a majority.
Author: Booker T. Washington
That is true if polls could be a truly random sample, but that is impossible. They do stratified random samples where people are called in designated areas to insure proper representation of various groups. The higher percentage of Democrats is built into the sample.
Some of the polls use the same raw data but differ in the results based on how they handle issues like likely voters, registered voters, etc.
Yes, the final polls showed her with a 3% lead. They only poll popular votes (not electors). In the final count she had 3% more popular votes than Trump meaning the polls were right on the money.
We know who won the presidency, my statement was only about poll results and actual popular vote outcome.
They do reveal their polling methods in the methodology section of the full reports. If polls are biased nobody is going to hire them if they want accurate results. If they want biased results for public consumption that usually comes from "internal polling" or that done by partisan organizations.
Concart (05-28-2020)
Flash (05-28-2020)
But the usually accurately predict the final results.
If they were meaningless campaigns would not spend millions on pollsters to find who to target in their campaigning.
Predict Polls.jpg
Presidential Polls.jpg
Argument from randU fallacy. Irrelevance fallacy. We do not elect the President by popular vote.
Poll results are completely meaningless. The 'prediction' of Hillary and how much she supposedly took in the 'popular vote' is also meaningless.
Manufactured numbers are not data.
The topic of the post was the accuracy of the polls. Since polls on measure popular votes it is the only relevant issue. Polls are not meant to "predict" but are only responses to the questions on that day.
There was nothing "manufactured" since the 3% lead in the polls was exactly the final result.
Polls are very relevant for those who follow and discuss them in the media and sites like JPP, and for political campaigns who make great use of them to determine strategy. Polls have won elections as in Nixon's Southern Strategy and Clinton's Triangulation strategy.
Polls were also very useful to the Trump campaign that used them to determine battleground states to target for Trump rallies and campaign advertising. Without polls nobody would know which states are "battleground."
Let me Guess: The Poll doesn’t tell you what you want to hear, therefore it’s FAKE
ONE-N-DONE, YOU GOT PLAYED; Time To Play-On
Remember ... ELECTIONS HAVE CONSEQUENCES ... So STFU Bitch
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