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Thread: Another fake Democrat poll exposed

  1. #166 | Top
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    Quote Originally Posted by Arminius View Post


    Hence the "blue wave" never happening...just like Hillary's 92% chance of winning in 2016.

    Frank Luntz urges pollsters to seek new profession after Trump outperforms polls: 'Sell real estate'
    that doesn't disprove weighting, idiot.


    ---

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    Grind is basically right
    Quote Originally Posted by Phantasmal View Post
    Grind’s got you beat by miles. He is very intelligent.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Walt View Post
    It does have the power to interpret the Constitution.

    Kavanaugh is now claiming that the US Supreme Court has the final power to interpret the state constitutions. I disagree on this new power grab.
    Changing the Constitution is not interpreting the Constitution. The Supreme Court does not have power to interpret the Constitution either.
    Kavanough does not have authority to change the Constitution of the United States nor of any State constitution.
    "The atmosphere is among the factors that determines the Earth's atmosphere." --ZenMode
    "Donald has failed in almost every endeavor he has attempted. " --floridafan
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  3. #168 | Top
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    Quote Originally Posted by Walt View Post
    Your boy Kavanaugh disagrees not just with that, but also that federal government has the right to rewrite state constitutions.
    Anyone that wants to override a constitution is not 'my boy'.
    "The atmosphere is among the factors that determines the Earth's atmosphere." --ZenMode
    "Donald has failed in almost every endeavor he has attempted. " --floridafan
    "Abortion is not a moral issue. " --BidenPresident
    "Propaganda can also be factual." --Flash
    "Even after being vaccinated, you shed virus particles." --Jerome
    "no slavery is forcing another into labor" -archives
    "Evs are much safer from fires" -- Nordberg
    "Abortion has killed no one." -- LurchAddams

  4. #169 | Top
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    Quote Originally Posted by Walt View Post
    Yes, it is.
    WRONG! Cooked data is not allowed in statistical math at all. Only raw data may be used. Math error: Failure to select by randN. Failure to conduct a summary. Use of hidden, manufactured, or cooked data.
    "The atmosphere is among the factors that determines the Earth's atmosphere." --ZenMode
    "Donald has failed in almost every endeavor he has attempted. " --floridafan
    "Abortion is not a moral issue. " --BidenPresident
    "Propaganda can also be factual." --Flash
    "Even after being vaccinated, you shed virus particles." --Jerome
    "no slavery is forcing another into labor" -archives
    "Evs are much safer from fires" -- Nordberg
    "Abortion has killed no one." -- LurchAddams

  5. #170 | Top
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    Quote Originally Posted by Micawber View Post
    We won.
    No one has won. No one has lost.
    "The atmosphere is among the factors that determines the Earth's atmosphere." --ZenMode
    "Donald has failed in almost every endeavor he has attempted. " --floridafan
    "Abortion is not a moral issue. " --BidenPresident
    "Propaganda can also be factual." --Flash
    "Even after being vaccinated, you shed virus particles." --Jerome
    "no slavery is forcing another into labor" -archives
    "Evs are much safer from fires" -- Nordberg
    "Abortion has killed no one." -- LurchAddams

  6. #171 | Top
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    Quote Originally Posted by Walt View Post
    First off, Democrats won the majority of the House races, which would be the first hint that maybe the also won the majority of the vote. Secondly, because of gerrymandering, to win the majority of the House races, they had to win a supermajority of the popular vote. They win races that they win by more votes than Republicans do due to gerrymandering.

    I think Arminius is having trouble understanding the difference between winning fewer races than in the last very successful year, and losing most of the races. Democrats won the majority of the House races. They may also win a majority in the Senate.

    What three predictions did I make?
    1) Democrats would keep the House, and they did that.
    2) Biden would almost certainly win. There was a very slight chance trump could win, but it was extremely doubtful. Biden won.
    3) Democrats had a 50/50 chance of winning the Senate. They still have a chance of winning, but it is less than 50% chance now. Maybe a 20% chance.
    The election is still indeterminate.
    "The atmosphere is among the factors that determines the Earth's atmosphere." --ZenMode
    "Donald has failed in almost every endeavor he has attempted. " --floridafan
    "Abortion is not a moral issue. " --BidenPresident
    "Propaganda can also be factual." --Flash
    "Even after being vaccinated, you shed virus particles." --Jerome
    "no slavery is forcing another into labor" -archives
    "Evs are much safer from fires" -- Nordberg
    "Abortion has killed no one." -- LurchAddams

  7. #172 | Top
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    Quote Originally Posted by Into the Night View Post
    The Supreme Court does not have power to interpret the Constitution either.
    What judges do is interpret laws, including the Constitution(which is a law). The Supreme Court's primary job is to interpret laws in terms of the Constitution, and with how the Constitution itself should be interpreted.

    In your fantasy, who is supposed to interpret the Constitution?

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    Quote Originally Posted by Into the Night View Post
    WRONG! Cooked data is not allowed in statistical math at all. Only raw data may be used. Math error: Failure to select by randN. Failure to conduct a summary. Use of hidden, manufactured, or cooked data.
    Weighting data is used all the time in statistics. It is usually considered important to make clear what process was used, but there are many processes that include weighting. I doubt you have any background in statistics.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Into the Night View Post
    The election is still indeterminate.
    I doubt you will ever accept the results.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Walt View Post
    What judges do is interpret laws, including the Constitution(which is a law).
    WRONG. No court has authority over the Constitution. See Article III of the U.S. Constitution.
    Quote Originally Posted by Walt View Post
    The Supreme Court's primary job is to interpret laws in terms of the Constitution, and with how the Constitution itself should be interpreted.
    WRONG. No court has authority over the Constitution. See Article III of the U.S. Constitution. No court has the authority to change or interpret the Constitution.
    Quote Originally Posted by Walt View Post
    In your fantasy, who is supposed to interpret the Constitution?
    Not a fantasy. The States, the owners of the Constitution collectively, are the only ones authorized to interpret it. They are the only ones that created it, that can change it in any way, and can destroy it (thus dissolving the federal government completely). The States own the Constitution.
    "The atmosphere is among the factors that determines the Earth's atmosphere." --ZenMode
    "Donald has failed in almost every endeavor he has attempted. " --floridafan
    "Abortion is not a moral issue. " --BidenPresident
    "Propaganda can also be factual." --Flash
    "Even after being vaccinated, you shed virus particles." --Jerome
    "no slavery is forcing another into labor" -archives
    "Evs are much safer from fires" -- Nordberg
    "Abortion has killed no one." -- LurchAddams

  11. #176 | Top
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    Quote Originally Posted by Walt View Post
    Weighting data is used all the time in statistics. It is usually considered important to make clear what process was used, but there are many processes that include weighting. I doubt you have any background in statistics.
    WRONG. You cannot use cooked data in statistical math. No summary has been run yet! Circular argument fallacy. Math error: failure to select by randN. Preselection. Failure to use unbiased raw data.

    Inversion fallacy. It is YOU that is denying statistical math.
    "The atmosphere is among the factors that determines the Earth's atmosphere." --ZenMode
    "Donald has failed in almost every endeavor he has attempted. " --floridafan
    "Abortion is not a moral issue. " --BidenPresident
    "Propaganda can also be factual." --Flash
    "Even after being vaccinated, you shed virus particles." --Jerome
    "no slavery is forcing another into labor" -archives
    "Evs are much safer from fires" -- Nordberg
    "Abortion has killed no one." -- LurchAddams

  12. #177 | Top
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    306-232. 80,000,000+ votes. Six million popular vote lead.

    LANDSLIDE!

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    Quote Originally Posted by Walt View Post
    I doubt you will ever accept the results.
    What results? There isn't any yet! The lawsuits are still pending. The electoral college has not yet met.
    "The atmosphere is among the factors that determines the Earth's atmosphere." --ZenMode
    "Donald has failed in almost every endeavor he has attempted. " --floridafan
    "Abortion is not a moral issue. " --BidenPresident
    "Propaganda can also be factual." --Flash
    "Even after being vaccinated, you shed virus particles." --Jerome
    "no slavery is forcing another into labor" -archives
    "Evs are much safer from fires" -- Nordberg
    "Abortion has killed no one." -- LurchAddams

  14. #179 | Top
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    Quote Originally Posted by domer76 View Post
    306-232. 80,000,000+ votes. Six million popular vote lead.

    LANDSLIDE!
    Random numbers. Argument from randU fallacy. The president is not elected by popular vote.
    "The atmosphere is among the factors that determines the Earth's atmosphere." --ZenMode
    "Donald has failed in almost every endeavor he has attempted. " --floridafan
    "Abortion is not a moral issue. " --BidenPresident
    "Propaganda can also be factual." --Flash
    "Even after being vaccinated, you shed virus particles." --Jerome
    "no slavery is forcing another into labor" -archives
    "Evs are much safer from fires" -- Nordberg
    "Abortion has killed no one." -- LurchAddams

  15. #180 | Top
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    Quote Originally Posted by Into the Night View Post
    Not a fantasy. The States, the owners of the Constitution collectively, are the only ones authorized to interpret it. They are the only ones that created it, that can change it in any way, and can destroy it (thus dissolving the federal government completely). The States own the Constitution.
    I think the Civil War settled the argument over whether the states can destroy America.

    So in your fantasy, each state would decide an interpretation of the Constitution for itself. What if there is a constitutional question of international power of the President? It touches on no state in particular.

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