View Poll Results: Will US COVID-19 deaths exceed the 62,000 by Election Day?

Voters
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  • Yes, there will be more than 62,000 US deaths due to COVID-19

    17 70.83%
  • No, there will be less than 62,000 deaths.

    1 4.17%
  • I don't know/some other answer

    6 25.00%
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Thread: US COVID-19 deaths by Election Day

  1. #151 | Top
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    Hello Dutch Uncle,

    Quote Originally Posted by Dutch Uncle View Post
    Sadly, but agreed. It's not rocket science. The major variable is whether or not rate of infection is increased or decreased based upon social interactions. I think it will go up for a bit then drop down when most Americans realize we have a problem.
    I think 2/3 of America understands we have not peaked yet, disagrees with opening up for business too soon, and knows that things are going to get worse before they get better.
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    Here is a screenshot of the graph of American deaths"

    Screenshot_2020-04-23 United States Coronavirus 866,148 Cases and 48,868 Deaths - Worldometer.jpg

    The way that curve is rising, it appears we will have passed the 62,000 figure in 10 days.
    Personal Ignore Policy PIP: I like civil discourse. I will give you all the respect in the world if you respect me. Mouth off to me, or express overt racism, you will be PERMANENTLY Ignore Listed. Zero tolerance. No exceptions. I'll never read a word you write, even if quoted by another, nor respond to you, nor participate in your threads. ... Ignore the shallow. Cherish the thoughtful. Long Live Civil Discourse, Mutual Respect, and Good Debate! ps: Feel free to adopt my PIP. It works well.

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    Quote Originally Posted by PoliTalker View Post
    Here is a screenshot of the graph of American deaths"

    Screenshot_2020-04-23 United States Coronavirus 866,148 Cases and 48,868 Deaths - Worldometer.jpg

    The way that curve is rising, it appears we will have passed the 62,000 figure in 10 days.
    At 1000/day then 10 days is 10,000. We'll probably go over 49,000 today so it would be close.
    God bless America and those who defend our Constitution.

    "Hatred is a failure of imagination" - Graham Greene, "The Power and the Glory"

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    Hello Dutch Uncle,

    Quote Originally Posted by Dutch Uncle View Post
    At 1000/day then 10 days is 10,000. We'll probably go over 49,000 today so it would be close.
    The daily death rate is more like double that. 2000 deaths per day.

    Screenshot_2020-04-23 United States Coronavirus 866,148 Cases and 48,868 Daily Deaths - Worldome.jpg
    Personal Ignore Policy PIP: I like civil discourse. I will give you all the respect in the world if you respect me. Mouth off to me, or express overt racism, you will be PERMANENTLY Ignore Listed. Zero tolerance. No exceptions. I'll never read a word you write, even if quoted by another, nor respond to you, nor participate in your threads. ... Ignore the shallow. Cherish the thoughtful. Long Live Civil Discourse, Mutual Respect, and Good Debate! ps: Feel free to adopt my PIP. It works well.

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    Quote Originally Posted by PoliTalker View Post
    Hello Dutch Uncle,

    I think 2/3 of America understands we have not peaked yet, disagrees with opening up for business too soon, and knows that things are going to get worse before they get better.
    I think it's closer to 80%.
    God bless America and those who defend our Constitution.

    "Hatred is a failure of imagination" - Graham Greene, "The Power and the Glory"

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    Quote Originally Posted by PoliTalker View Post
    Hello Dutch Uncle,
    The daily death rate is more like double that. 2000 deaths per day.

    Screenshot_2020-04-23 United States Coronavirus 866,148 Cases and 48,868 Daily Deaths - Worldome.jpg
    That should present a very troubling figure in 10 days.
    God bless America and those who defend our Constitution.

    "Hatred is a failure of imagination" - Graham Greene, "The Power and the Glory"

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    In 2018, a total of 2,839,205 resident deaths
    were registered in the United States
    —25,702 more deaths than in 2017.

    Mortality in the United States, 2018 - CDC


    How many deaths are there per day in the US?
    According to the United Nations World Population Prospects report,
    approx 7,452 people die every day in the United States.

    In other words, a person dies in the US approx
    every 12 seconds. Mar 5, 2018


    How many people die annually in the world?
    How many die each year in the world?
    In 2015 around 57 million people died.
    The world population therefore increased by 84 million
    in that year (that is an increase of 1.14%). Sep 11, 2019

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    Quote Originally Posted by Dutch Uncle View Post
    At 1000/day then 10 days is 10,000. We'll probably go over 49,000 today so it would be close.
    2.5 million deaths occur in the US every year.
    "When government fears the people, there is liberty. When the people fear the government, there is tyranny."


    A lie doesn't become the truth, wrong doesn't become right, and evil doesn't become good just because it is accepted by a majority.
    Author: Booker T. Washington



    Quote Originally Posted by Nomad View Post
    Unless you just can't stand the idea of "ni**ers" teaching white kids.


    Quote Originally Posted by AProudLefty View Post
    Address the topic, not other posters.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Dutch Uncle View Post
    That should present a very troubling figure in 10 days.
    May 3rd; be there or be square.
    "When government fears the people, there is liberty. When the people fear the government, there is tyranny."


    A lie doesn't become the truth, wrong doesn't become right, and evil doesn't become good just because it is accepted by a majority.
    Author: Booker T. Washington



    Quote Originally Posted by Nomad View Post
    Unless you just can't stand the idea of "ni**ers" teaching white kids.


    Quote Originally Posted by AProudLefty View Post
    Address the topic, not other posters.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Dutch Uncle View Post
    That should present a very troubling figure in 10 days.
    Based on the cases and deaths, I was afraid we would hit the 62,000 before the end of the month based on the math. It's looking like that will definitely happen.

    At least NY seems to be on the downward slope but other states have still not peaked. We may not see less than 1,000 deaths a day until mid May. At this point the question is whether we can keep it under 75,000 by the end of May. I am not optimistic that we can.

    I saw a lot of people were wearing masks last week when it was first announced, often over 50%. Then this week it seems to have dropped off, maybe 25%. That doesn't bode well for keeping this on a downward slope.
    "We are all born ignorant, but one must work hard to remain stupid."

    "Any fool can criticize, condemn and complain - and most fools do."

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    Quote Originally Posted by Truth Detector View Post
    2.5 million deaths occur in the US every year.
    True enough on normal years. Are you saying it will be the same this year? Higher? Lower? Are you going to pussy out again and not say? If the numbers next year are a million over 2.8M, will you admit COVID-19 isn't a fake virus? Will you admit that it's worse than the Flu?

    I'm fascinated that you to actually believe the CDC figures and aren't accusing them of falsifying the numbers, low balling them to make Obama look good or something equally silly.

    https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/products/databriefs/db355.htm
    NOTES: A total of 2,839,205 resident deaths were registered in the United States in 2018.
    God bless America and those who defend our Constitution.

    "Hatred is a failure of imagination" - Graham Greene, "The Power and the Glory"

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    Quote Originally Posted by Poor Richard Saunders View Post
    Based on the cases and deaths, I was afraid we would hit the 62,000 before the end of the month based on the math. It's looking like that will definitely happen.

    At least NY seems to be on the downward slope but other states have still not peaked. We may not see less than 1,000 deaths a day until mid May. At this point the question is whether we can keep it under 75,000 by the end of May. I am not optimistic that we can.

    I saw a lot of people were wearing masks last week when it was first announced, often over 50%. Then this week it seems to have dropped off, maybe 25%. That doesn't bode well for keeping this on a downward slope.
    Evolution in action. Little laboratories of democracy spread across 50 states. It's going to be a very memorable summer!
    God bless America and those who defend our Constitution.

    "Hatred is a failure of imagination" - Graham Greene, "The Power and the Glory"

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    Quote Originally Posted by Truth Detector View Post
    May 3rd; be there or be square.
    The nation could see over 62,000 Americans dead from COVID-19 by Cinco de Mayo. As sane people know, this is on top of all normal flu and other disease deaths. One thing we might see a drop in is auto deaths; people are making kamikaze attacks on each other trying to get to work because of the shutdown.

    If this rate stays the same, it could be over 180,000 dead Americans from COVID-19 by Election Day.

    From last March 15th:
    Quote Originally Posted by Dutch Uncle View Post
    Trump weaseled out of the rallies after telling everyone for weeks that it's nothing worse than the flu and that the Democrats were making too big of a deal about it.

    I think we're in for at least six more weeks of it; a first, second and third week due to the 14-day max incubation period, but, yes, it could be over by the 4th of July.

    OTOH, we might have something to celebrate on Cinco de Mayo! Maybe even Easter!

    God bless America and those who defend our Constitution.

    "Hatred is a failure of imagination" - Graham Greene, "The Power and the Glory"

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    Quote Originally Posted by Truth Detector View Post
    2.5 million deaths occur in the US every year.
    ...and this year it will be 2.5 million deaths plus another 180,000+....especially if we open up the country like it was mid-January.

    Biologically, it will be good to cull the herd of the weak, the elderly and the sick.

    Is it better to have 3-9M dead Americans but the remaining 97% are healthy, happy and prosperous? or is it better to have 1M dead and the remaining 99% are poor and financially ruined?
    God bless America and those who defend our Constitution.

    "Hatred is a failure of imagination" - Graham Greene, "The Power and the Glory"

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    Looks like the US will go over a million total confirmed cases by Tuesday at the current rate.
    Personal Ignore Policy PIP: I like civil discourse. I will give you all the respect in the world if you respect me. Mouth off to me, or express overt racism, you will be PERMANENTLY Ignore Listed. Zero tolerance. No exceptions. I'll never read a word you write, even if quoted by another, nor respond to you, nor participate in your threads. ... Ignore the shallow. Cherish the thoughtful. Long Live Civil Discourse, Mutual Respect, and Good Debate! ps: Feel free to adopt my PIP. It works well.

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