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Thread: Corona Virus Peak Watch Thread

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    Quote Originally Posted by katzgar View Post
    check your math
    Isn't that the WHO statisitics?
    "No Better Friend, No Worse Enemy -- لا يوجد صديق أفضل ولا عدو أسوأ "
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    Barry Goldwater speech to Congress 1981

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    Quote Originally Posted by PoliTalker View Post
    Hello Dutch Uncle,



    This reality stuff sucks sometimes.

    I could have already had it myself, don't know. Would like to know, but I see not point in taking any of the current antibody tests because they are so inaccurate, what's the point? You'd still be guessing. I wish we had one that worked well.
    An excellent point. It's 50/50.

    https://www.boston.com/news/coronavi...-antibody-test
    “In a population where the prevalence is 5%, a test with 90% sensitivity and 95% specificity will yield a positive predictive value of 49%. In other words, less than half of those testing positive will truly have antibodies,” the CDC said in its updated guidelines.
    "No Better Friend, No Worse Enemy -- لا يوجد صديق أفضل ولا عدو أسوأ "
    General James N. Mattis, USMC

    Barry Goldwater speech to Congress 1981

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    Quote Originally Posted by Dutch Uncle View Post
    Isn't that the WHO statisitics?
    holy crap dude add your 3 numbers up. "Only 3% will be screwed. About 20% will have a bad time. 80% of us will be fine."

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    Quote Originally Posted by katzgar View Post
    holy crap dude add your 3 numbers up. "Only 3% will be screwed. About 20% will have a bad time. 80% of us will be fine."
    Thanks. I see what you mean, sorry it wasn't clearer. My understanding is the "about 20%" who become severely ill include the 3% who end up dying. The good news is that, if correct, 80 percent of us will be fine. Much better odds than at Vegas.
    "No Better Friend, No Worse Enemy -- لا يوجد صديق أفضل ولا عدو أسوأ "
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    Barry Goldwater speech to Congress 1981

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    Quote Originally Posted by Dutch Uncle View Post
    Thanks. I see what you mean, sorry it wasn't clearer. My understanding is the "about 20%" who become severely ill include the 3% who end up dying. The good news is that, if correct, 80 percent of us will be fine. Much better odds than at Vegas.

    gotcha, thanks

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    Tuesday

    6-2

    USA

    Total Cases 1,881,205

    New Cases +21,882

    Total Deaths 108,059

    New Deaths +1,134

    Total Recovered 645,974

    Active Cases 1,127,172

    Serious, Critical 17,114

    Tot Cases/1M pop 5,686

    Deaths/1M pop 327

    Total Tests 18,603,174

    Tests/1M pop 56,228
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    Look!

    Another decline in Active Cases!

    MAYBE we just had a peak!

    This data looks very good.

    Date ... Active Cases ... Daily Rise

    5-18 ... 1,101,930 ... 11,633

    5-19 ... 1,113,815 ... 11,885

    5-20 ... 1,127,711 ... 13,896

    5-21 ... 1,142,379 ... 14,668 (This day might be called a peak, but we need to see the number of Active Cases continue to decline after this.)

    5-22 ... 1,113,850 ... -28,529 (This day was a significant drop!)

    5-23 ... 1,121,231 ... 7,381 (rising)

    5-24 ... 1,135,434 ... 14,203 (rising)

    5-25 ... 1,141,751 ... 6,317 (rising)

    5-26 ... 1,144,734 ... 2,983 (surpassed the previous high point)

    5-27 ... 1,153,566 ... 8,832

    5-28 ... 1,166,406 ... 12,840

    5-29 ... 1,169,419 ... 3,013

    5-30 ... 1,176,025 ... 6,606 (This day might be called a peak, but we need to see the number of Active Cases continue to decline after this.)

    5-31 ... 1,131,108 ... -44,917 (nice big decline here. Let's see if it lasts.)

    6-1 .... 1,136,982 ... 5,874 (rising)

    6-2 .... 1,127,172 ... -9,810 (another nice drop. Hopefully this means we are passing the peak at last...)
    Personal Ignore Policy PIP: I like civil discourse. I will give you all the respect in the world if you respect me. Mouth off to me, or express overt racism, you will be PERMANENTLY Ignore Listed. Zero tolerance. No exceptions. I'll never read a word you write, even if quoted by another, nor respond to you, nor participate in your threads. ... Ignore the shallow. Cherish the thoughtful. Long Live Civil Discourse, Mutual Respect, and Good Debate! ps: Feel free to adopt my PIP. It works well.

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    Quote Originally Posted by PoliTalker View Post
    Look!

    Another decline in Active Cases!

    MAYBE we just had a peak!

    This data looks very good.

    Date ... Active Cases ... Daily Rise

    5-18 ... 1,101,930 ... 11,633

    5-19 ... 1,113,815 ... 11,885

    5-20 ... 1,127,711 ... 13,896

    5-21 ... 1,142,379 ... 14,668 (This day might be called a peak, but we need to see the number of Active Cases continue to decline after this.)

    5-22 ... 1,113,850 ... -28,529 (This day was a significant drop!)

    5-23 ... 1,121,231 ... 7,381 (rising)

    5-24 ... 1,135,434 ... 14,203 (rising)

    5-25 ... 1,141,751 ... 6,317 (rising)

    5-26 ... 1,144,734 ... 2,983 (surpassed the previous high point)

    5-27 ... 1,153,566 ... 8,832

    5-28 ... 1,166,406 ... 12,840

    5-29 ... 1,169,419 ... 3,013

    5-30 ... 1,176,025 ... 6,606 (This day might be called a peak, but we need to see the number of Active Cases continue to decline after this.)

    5-31 ... 1,131,108 ... -44,917 (nice big decline here. Let's see if it lasts.)

    6-1 .... 1,136,982 ... 5,874 (rising)

    6-2 .... 1,127,172 ... -9,810 (another nice drop. Hopefully this means we are passing the peak at last...)
    Perhaps now you can stop cheering the economic loss by millions of Americans and their families caused by the virus from China that China failed to contain, Snowflake.

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    Quote Originally Posted by PoliTalker View Post
    Look!

    Another decline in Active Cases!

    MAYBE we just had a peak!

    This data looks very good.

    Date ... Active Cases ... Daily Rise

    5-18 ... 1,101,930 ... 11,633

    5-19 ... 1,113,815 ... 11,885

    5-20 ... 1,127,711 ... 13,896

    5-21 ... 1,142,379 ... 14,668 (This day might be called a peak, but we need to see the number of Active Cases continue to decline after this.)

    5-22 ... 1,113,850 ... -28,529 (This day was a significant drop!)

    5-23 ... 1,121,231 ... 7,381 (rising)

    5-24 ... 1,135,434 ... 14,203 (rising)

    5-25 ... 1,141,751 ... 6,317 (rising)

    5-26 ... 1,144,734 ... 2,983 (surpassed the previous high point)

    5-27 ... 1,153,566 ... 8,832

    5-28 ... 1,166,406 ... 12,840

    5-29 ... 1,169,419 ... 3,013

    5-30 ... 1,176,025 ... 6,606 (This day might be called a peak, but we need to see the number of Active Cases continue to decline after this.)

    5-31 ... 1,131,108 ... -44,917 (nice big decline here. Let's see if it lasts.)

    6-1 .... 1,136,982 ... 5,874 (rising)

    6-2 .... 1,127,172 ... -9,810 (another nice drop. Hopefully this means we are passing the peak at last...)
    I hope protesting doesn’t bring it roaring back, hopefully being outdoors helps.
    kag: to choke something down in disgust

    Keep America Gagging

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    This graph is a good visual of our POSSIBLE PEAK:

    Screenshot_2020-06-03 United States Coronavirus 1,881,482 Cases and 108,083 Deaths - Worldometer.jpg

    (click to enlarge)

    Check out that FLATTENING CURVE, at LAST.

    Just like the experts said would come.

    Obviously DT was totally BSing when he said around Easter that he could see 'light at the end of the tunnel.'

    But of course we know very well by now that you can't beleive a thing he says.
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    Quote Originally Posted by PoliTalker View Post
    This graph is a good visual of our POSSIBLE PEAK:

    Screenshot_2020-06-03 United States Coronavirus 1,881,482 Cases and 108,083 Deaths - Worldometer.jpg

    (click to enlarge)

    Check out that FLATTENING CURVE, at LAST.

    Just like the experts said would come.

    Obviously DT was totally BSing when he said around Easter that he could see 'light at the end of the tunnel.'

    But of course we know very well by now that you can't beleive a thing he says.
    Perhaps now you can stop cheering for the boys economic loss to millions of Americans and their families caused by the virus from China that China failed to contain, Snowflake.

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    Quote Originally Posted by PoliTalker View Post
    Look!

    Another decline in Active Cases!

    MAYBE we just had a peak!

    This data looks very good.

    Date ... Active Cases ... Daily Rise

    5-18 ... 1,101,930 ... 11,633

    5-19 ... 1,113,815 ... 11,885

    5-20 ... 1,127,711 ... 13,896

    5-21 ... 1,142,379 ... 14,668 (This day might be called a peak, but we need to see the number of Active Cases continue to decline after this.)

    5-22 ... 1,113,850 ... -28,529 (This day was a significant drop!)

    5-23 ... 1,121,231 ... 7,381 (rising)

    5-24 ... 1,135,434 ... 14,203 (rising)

    5-25 ... 1,141,751 ... 6,317 (rising)

    5-26 ... 1,144,734 ... 2,983 (surpassed the previous high point)

    5-27 ... 1,153,566 ... 8,832

    5-28 ... 1,166,406 ... 12,840

    5-29 ... 1,169,419 ... 3,013

    5-30 ... 1,176,025 ... 6,606 (This day might be called a peak, but we need to see the number of Active Cases continue to decline after this.)

    5-31 ... 1,131,108 ... -44,917 (nice big decline here. Let's see if it lasts.)

    6-1 .... 1,136,982 ... 5,874 (rising)

    6-2 .... 1,127,172 ... -9,810 (another nice drop. Hopefully this means we are passing the peak at last...)
    Time will tell. The medical professional have spoken about a "second wave" resulting from reopening the country.

    Since there is no cure or vaccine, I think there is no way to avoid a second wave without bankrupting the nation.
    "No Better Friend, No Worse Enemy -- لا يوجد صديق أفضل ولا عدو أسوأ "
    General James N. Mattis, USMC

    Barry Goldwater speech to Congress 1981

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    Hello Dutch Uncle,

    Quote Originally Posted by Dutch Uncle View Post
    Time will tell. The medical professional have spoken about a "second wave" resulting from reopening the country.

    Since there is no cure or vaccine, I think there is no way to avoid a second wave without bankrupting the nation.
    Yes, that is a strongly indicated probability.

    For that reason, I am committing to maintain this thread, and keep accruing data.

    That way, we always have the numbers to refer to when the inevitable BS arises.

    The problem for DT is you can't BS away data.

    Numbers don't lie.

    DT does.

    This thread has already shown that, and will continue to do so.

    # In It For The Long Haul
    Personal Ignore Policy PIP: I like civil discourse. I will give you all the respect in the world if you respect me. Mouth off to me, or express overt racism, you will be PERMANENTLY Ignore Listed. Zero tolerance. No exceptions. I'll never read a word you write, even if quoted by another, nor respond to you, nor participate in your threads. ... Ignore the shallow. Cherish the thoughtful. Long Live Civil Discourse, Mutual Respect, and Good Debate! ps: Feel free to adopt my PIP. It works well.

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  22. #314 | Top
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    Quote Originally Posted by PoliTalker View Post
    Hello Dutch Uncle,



    Yes, that is a strongly indicated probability.

    For that reason, I am committing to maintain this thread, and keep accruing data.

    That way, we always have the numbers to refer to when the inevitable BS arises.

    The problem for DT is you can't BS away data.

    Numbers don't lie.

    DT does.

    This thread has already shown that, and will continue to do so.

    # In It For The Long Haul
    Perhaps now you can stop cheering the economic loss by millions of Americans and their families caused by the virus from China that China failed to contain, Snowflake.

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    Wednesday

    6-3

    USA

    Total Cases 1,901,783

    New Cases +20,578

    Total Deaths 109,142

    New Deaths +1,083

    Total Recovered 688,670

    Active Cases 1,103,971

    Serious, Critical 16,939

    Tot Cases/1M pop 5,748

    Deaths/1M pop 330

    Total Tests 19,096,671

    Tests/1M pop 57,718
    Personal Ignore Policy PIP: I like civil discourse. I will give you all the respect in the world if you respect me. Mouth off to me, or express overt racism, you will be PERMANENTLY Ignore Listed. Zero tolerance. No exceptions. I'll never read a word you write, even if quoted by another, nor respond to you, nor participate in your threads. ... Ignore the shallow. Cherish the thoughtful. Long Live Civil Discourse, Mutual Respect, and Good Debate! ps: Feel free to adopt my PIP. It works well.

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