Earl (06-03-2020)
Earl (06-03-2020)
An excellent point. It's 50/50.
https://www.boston.com/news/coronavi...-antibody-test
“In a population where the prevalence is 5%, a test with 90% sensitivity and 95% specificity will yield a positive predictive value of 49%. In other words, less than half of those testing positive will truly have antibodies,” the CDC said in its updated guidelines.
"Hatred is a failure of imagination" - Graham Greene, "The Power and the Glory"
Earl (06-03-2020)
PoliTalker (06-03-2020)
"Hatred is a failure of imagination" - Graham Greene, "The Power and the Glory"
Earl (06-03-2020)
Doc Dutch (06-03-2020)
Tuesday
6-2
USA
Total Cases 1,881,205
New Cases +21,882
Total Deaths 108,059
New Deaths +1,134
Total Recovered 645,974
Active Cases 1,127,172
Serious, Critical 17,114
Tot Cases/1M pop 5,686
Deaths/1M pop 327
Total Tests 18,603,174
Tests/1M pop 56,228
Personal Ignore Policy PIP: I like civil discourse. I will give you all the respect in the world if you respect me. Mouth off to me, or express overt racism, you will be PERMANENTLY Ignore Listed. Zero tolerance. No exceptions. I'll never read a word you write, even if quoted by another, nor respond to you, nor participate in your threads. ... Ignore the shallow. Cherish the thoughtful. Long Live Civil Discourse, Mutual Respect, and Good Debate! ps: Feel free to adopt my PIP. It works well.
Look!
Another decline in Active Cases!
MAYBE we just had a peak!
This data looks very good.
Date ... Active Cases ... Daily Rise
5-18 ... 1,101,930 ... 11,633
5-19 ... 1,113,815 ... 11,885
5-20 ... 1,127,711 ... 13,896
5-21 ... 1,142,379 ... 14,668 (This day might be called a peak, but we need to see the number of Active Cases continue to decline after this.)
5-22 ... 1,113,850 ... -28,529 (This day was a significant drop!)
5-23 ... 1,121,231 ... 7,381 (rising)
5-24 ... 1,135,434 ... 14,203 (rising)
5-25 ... 1,141,751 ... 6,317 (rising)
5-26 ... 1,144,734 ... 2,983 (surpassed the previous high point)
5-27 ... 1,153,566 ... 8,832
5-28 ... 1,166,406 ... 12,840
5-29 ... 1,169,419 ... 3,013
5-30 ... 1,176,025 ... 6,606 (This day might be called a peak, but we need to see the number of Active Cases continue to decline after this.)
5-31 ... 1,131,108 ... -44,917 (nice big decline here. Let's see if it lasts.)
6-1 .... 1,136,982 ... 5,874 (rising)
6-2 .... 1,127,172 ... -9,810 (another nice drop. Hopefully this means we are passing the peak at last...)
Personal Ignore Policy PIP: I like civil discourse. I will give you all the respect in the world if you respect me. Mouth off to me, or express overt racism, you will be PERMANENTLY Ignore Listed. Zero tolerance. No exceptions. I'll never read a word you write, even if quoted by another, nor respond to you, nor participate in your threads. ... Ignore the shallow. Cherish the thoughtful. Long Live Civil Discourse, Mutual Respect, and Good Debate! ps: Feel free to adopt my PIP. It works well.
PoliTalker (06-03-2020)
This graph is a good visual of our POSSIBLE PEAK:
Screenshot_2020-06-03 United States Coronavirus 1,881,482 Cases and 108,083 Deaths - Worldometer.jpg
(click to enlarge)
Check out that FLATTENING CURVE, at LAST.
Just like the experts said would come.
Obviously DT was totally BSing when he said around Easter that he could see 'light at the end of the tunnel.'
But of course we know very well by now that you can't beleive a thing he says.
Personal Ignore Policy PIP: I like civil discourse. I will give you all the respect in the world if you respect me. Mouth off to me, or express overt racism, you will be PERMANENTLY Ignore Listed. Zero tolerance. No exceptions. I'll never read a word you write, even if quoted by another, nor respond to you, nor participate in your threads. ... Ignore the shallow. Cherish the thoughtful. Long Live Civil Discourse, Mutual Respect, and Good Debate! ps: Feel free to adopt my PIP. It works well.
"Hatred is a failure of imagination" - Graham Greene, "The Power and the Glory"
Hello Dutch Uncle,
Yes, that is a strongly indicated probability.
For that reason, I am committing to maintain this thread, and keep accruing data.
That way, we always have the numbers to refer to when the inevitable BS arises.
The problem for DT is you can't BS away data.
Numbers don't lie.
DT does.
This thread has already shown that, and will continue to do so.
# In It For The Long Haul
Personal Ignore Policy PIP: I like civil discourse. I will give you all the respect in the world if you respect me. Mouth off to me, or express overt racism, you will be PERMANENTLY Ignore Listed. Zero tolerance. No exceptions. I'll never read a word you write, even if quoted by another, nor respond to you, nor participate in your threads. ... Ignore the shallow. Cherish the thoughtful. Long Live Civil Discourse, Mutual Respect, and Good Debate! ps: Feel free to adopt my PIP. It works well.
Earl (06-03-2020)
Doc Dutch (06-03-2020), Phantasmal (06-03-2020)
Wednesday
6-3
USA
Total Cases 1,901,783
New Cases +20,578
Total Deaths 109,142
New Deaths +1,083
Total Recovered 688,670
Active Cases 1,103,971
Serious, Critical 16,939
Tot Cases/1M pop 5,748
Deaths/1M pop 330
Total Tests 19,096,671
Tests/1M pop 57,718
Personal Ignore Policy PIP: I like civil discourse. I will give you all the respect in the world if you respect me. Mouth off to me, or express overt racism, you will be PERMANENTLY Ignore Listed. Zero tolerance. No exceptions. I'll never read a word you write, even if quoted by another, nor respond to you, nor participate in your threads. ... Ignore the shallow. Cherish the thoughtful. Long Live Civil Discourse, Mutual Respect, and Good Debate! ps: Feel free to adopt my PIP. It works well.
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