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Thread: Could theoreticallly every US House representative incumbent be defeated in 2020?

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    Default Could theoreticallly every US House representative incumbent be defeated in 2020?

    Why is it that certain House seats continue to remain with the incumbent candidate for their entire lifetime, like
    Pelosi or Sanders for instance? What is it about these people that the citizens of those state's districts
    never vote them out of office? How is this even possible? Does the fact that a half of the people
    of the entire country don't vote, as in, if Trump got 60 million votes and Clinton got 63 million votes, and supposedly
    the US population is 300 million, and if you take away like twenty percent for under-aged citizens, that would leave
    120 million who didn't vote at all. Could those individuals, if they were motivated be enough to vote out any, including
    Pelosi for instance, or even all incumbents?

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    Yes, theoretically. By the same token, you could theoretically win the lottery while flying to the moon. I'd argue the latter has a greater probability.
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    There are certain things that you learn working on "The Hill". First, the list of long serving politicians is equally bad on BOTH sides of the Isle. McConnell certainly comes to mind on the "R". side of the isle. Next, of the 435 House seats in play every two years, only 35-45 are in serious contention each voting cycle (with a few election cycle exceptions). Why? look at the district by district polling and the answer becomes very clear. Most districts like their guy/gal, but want everyone else's voted out.
    Please leave your Trump 2024 signs in your yard. That way, my dog will know where to take a dump.

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    Quote Originally Posted by gsearchthwartsme View Post
    Could theoreticallly every US House representative incumbent be defeated in 2020?
    NO.

    Quote Originally Posted by gsearchthwartsme View Post
    Why is it that certain House seats continue to remain with the incumbent candidate for their entire lifetime, like
    Pelosi or Sanders for instance? What is it about these people that the citizens of those state's districts
    never vote them out of office? How is this even possible?
    Their constituents are low information morons.


    Quote Originally Posted by gsearchthwartsme View Post
    Does the fact that a half of the people
    of the entire country don't vote, as in, if Trump got 60 million votes and Clinton got 63 million votes, and supposedly
    the US population is 300 million, and if you take away like twenty percent for under-aged citizens, that would leave
    120 million who didn't vote at all. Could those individuals, if they were motivated be enough to vote out any, including
    Pelosi for instance, or even all incumbents?
    A few million more low information morons won't make any difference with regard to idiots like Pelosi living in safe districts full of like minded morons.
    "When government fears the people, there is liberty. When the people fear the government, there is tyranny."


    A lie doesn't become the truth, wrong doesn't become right, and evil doesn't become good just because it is accepted by a majority.
    Author: Booker T. Washington



    Quote Originally Posted by Nomad View Post
    Unless you just can't stand the idea of "ni**ers" teaching white kids.


    Quote Originally Posted by AProudLefty View Post
    Address the topic, not other posters.

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    Quote Originally Posted by gsearchthwartsme View Post
    Why is it that certain House seats continue to remain with the incumbent candidate for their entire lifetime, like
    Pelosi or Sanders for instance? What is it about these people that the citizens of those state's districts
    never vote them out of office? How is this even possible? Does the fact that a half of the people
    of the entire country don't vote, as in, if Trump got 60 million votes and Clinton got 63 million votes, and supposedly
    the US population is 300 million, and if you take away like twenty percent for under-aged citizens, that would leave
    120 million who didn't vote at all. Could those individuals, if they were motivated be enough to vote out any, including
    Pelosi for instance, or even all incumbents?
    Possible, but not probable, with gerrymandering some Reps are locked for life, others are just good at being politicians, the two you mentioned and the likes of Mitch are good examples

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    Quote Originally Posted by Tacomaman View Post
    There are certain things that you learn working on "The Hill". First, the list of long serving politicians is equally bad on BOTH sides of the Isle. McConnell certainly comes to mind on the "R". side of the isle. Next, of the 435 House seats in play every two years, only 35-45 are in serious contention each voting cycle (with a few election cycle exceptions). Why? look at the district by district polling and the answer becomes very clear. Most districts like their guy/gal, but want everyone else's voted out.
    Something you got right for a change.
    "When government fears the people, there is liberty. When the people fear the government, there is tyranny."


    A lie doesn't become the truth, wrong doesn't become right, and evil doesn't become good just because it is accepted by a majority.
    Author: Booker T. Washington



    Quote Originally Posted by Nomad View Post
    Unless you just can't stand the idea of "ni**ers" teaching white kids.


    Quote Originally Posted by AProudLefty View Post
    Address the topic, not other posters.

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    Throw out the bums...
    But not MY bum.
    Yes they all could go. But the system favors incumbants.

    That said, there is an unprecedented wave of conservative hopfulls swelling up. Couple that with the fringe left pushing for more aocs to unseat less rabid dems and we could see a biblical shift of the aisle.
    "Those who vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." Joseph Stalin
    The USA has lost WWIV to China with no other weapons but China Virus and some cash to buy democrats.

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    Quote Originally Posted by gsearchthwartsme View Post
    Why is it that certain House seats continue to remain with the incumbent candidate for their entire lifetime, like
    Pelosi or Sanders for instance? What is it about these people that the citizens of those state's districts
    never vote them out of office? How is this even possible? Does the fact that a half of the people
    of the entire country don't vote, as in, if Trump got 60 million votes and Clinton got 63 million votes, and supposedly
    the US population is 300 million, and if you take away like twenty percent for under-aged citizens, that would leave
    120 million who didn't vote at all. Could those individuals, if they were motivated be enough to vote out any, including
    Pelosi for instance, or even all incumbents?
    Yes, theoretically, it could happen. Probably won't though. We do not vote for the President by popular vote.

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    Quote Originally Posted by gsearchthwartsme View Post
    Why is it that certain House seats continue to remain with the incumbent candidate for their entire lifetime, like
    Pelosi or Sanders for instance? What is it about these people that the citizens of those state's districts
    never vote them out of office? How is this even possible? Does the fact that a half of the people
    of the entire country don't vote, as in, if Trump got 60 million votes and Clinton got 63 million votes, and supposedly
    the US population is 300 million, and if you take away like twenty percent for under-aged citizens, that would leave
    120 million who didn't vote at all. Could those individuals, if they were motivated be enough to vote out any, including
    Pelosi for instance, or even all incumbents?
    Gerrymandering is a large part of why so many House seats have the same incumbents for years upon years.

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