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Thread: Poll: Support for impeachment inquiry ticks down- Politico

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    Default Poll: Support for impeachment inquiry ticks down- Politico

    support for the inquiry has ticked down over the past week, according to a new POLITICO/Morning Consult poll.
    https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000...f-8ef254ad0000

    The survey, which has tracked support and opposition for the inquiry each week, support for the investigation inched down 2 points — to 48 percent from 50 percent — while opposition to the inquiry ticked up 3 points — to 45 percent from 42 percent.

    POLITICO and Morning Consult surveyed registered voters beginning after the second public hearing of the impeachment inquiry, and the poll results may indicate that support for the inquiry has reached its peak after steadily building over the past several months. The results were largely driven by independent voters, among whom support dropped by 7 points over the past week.

    "Voter opposition to the impeachment inquiry is at its highest point since Morning Consult and POLITICO began tracking the issue," said Tyler Sinclair, Morning Consult's vice president. "A key driver for this shift appears to be independents. Today, 47 percent of independents oppose the impeachment inquiry, compared to 37 percent who said the same one week ago."
    But heading into the second week of public proceedings, during which House lawmakers are squeezing nine witnesses into three days of hearings, slim pluralities of voters still support the House voting to impeach Trump (48-44 percent) and the Senate voting to remove him from office (47-42 percent).

    Respondents who said they're following media coverage of the investigation, 57 percent, and those who said they've watched the public hearings thus far, 55 percent, were considerably more likely to support impeachment in the House. That could account for some of the uptick in opposition by independents — just over half said they aren't following media coverage of the inquiry, with 43 percent copping to not watching the public hearings at all.

    While a plurality continues to support the inquiry overall, they also remain stable in their opposition to Democrats' handling of the inquiry, 46 percent to 42 percent.

    The POLITICO/Morning Consult poll was conducted online from Nov. 15-17 among a national sample of 1,994 registered voters. Results from the full survey have a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points.
    https://www.politico.com/news/2019/1...ry-poll-071396

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    In rejecting their view [Spinoza, Leibnitz and Hegel], as I shall contend that we must, we are committing ourselves to the opinion that “truth” in empirical material has a meaning different from that which it bears in logic and mathematics.”

    Bertrand Russell, “An Inquiry Into Meaning & Truth” (1940)

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    This is ticking down like the timer on a bomb. I can't wait until it blows up in their faces. Schiff and Pelosi are gonna have "shit in their eye."

    Common sense is not a gift, it's a punishment because you have to deal with everyone who doesn't have it.

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    Funny how polls only count if they say what you want to hear. No doubt this one will be rejected -- by the RWers. lol

    "But based on testimony and evidence presented so far, 47 percent of Americans said in the latest poll that they are more likely to support impeachment, while 41 percent said they were less likely to do so."

    and



    Source for both: https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politic...rted-poll-says
    Live as if you were to die tomorrow. Learn as if you were to live forever.” -- Gandhi

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    Quote Originally Posted by anatta View Post
    The survey, which has tracked support and opposition for the inquiry each week, support for the investigation inched down 2 points — to 48 percent from 50 percent — while opposition to the inquiry ticked up 3 points — to 45 percent from 42 percent.
    That is within a statistical margin of error at the 95 percent confidence interval, and is therefore completely meaningless mathematically.

    The bottom line - there is no significant statistical difference between polls measuring a two or three percent difference.
    The proper conclusion is that there has been no detectable statistical change in the level of support for impeachment.

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    Quote Originally Posted by ThatOwlWoman View Post
    Funny how polls only count if they say what you want to hear. No doubt this one will be rejected -- by the RWers. lol

    "But based on testimony and evidence presented so far, 47 percent of Americans said in the latest poll that they are more likely to support impeachment, while 41 percent said they were less likely to do so."

    and



    Source for both: https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politic...rted-poll-says
    NPR...lol, Mujer de Buho.

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    The down tick was fairly predictable.

    The longer the hearings drag on without a Big Moment the more voters are going to lose interest in it—human nature and all. Granted, to the ‘already convinced’ every moment of the hearing gets them excited. Problem is, Democrats need more than the already convinced and they aren’t getting them.

    Things could easily get more complicated with republicans dropping Horowitz into the mix right about the time House Democrats would be preparing for an actual vote lol.

    For Democrats, the *best* case scenario would be for the Horowitz hearing to force the News Fakers off the all-Impeachment-all-the-time gig, right about the time democrats want interest at its peak.

    The worst case scenario, Horowitz recommends indictments for certain characters involved in the Russian investigation. That’s basically Game Over for this Impeachment effort.

    I’m not convinced Pelosi will vote as it is. Even the democrats ‘optimistic’ impeachment poll numbers aren’t overwhelming—and they need to be, or the Senate will just vote down the articles.

    For the life of me, I don’t see what democrats have to gain from that and it would put the House at stake. Which puts Pelosi’s position at stake. But we’ll see.
    Coup has started. First of many steps. Impeachment will follow ultimately~WB attorney Mark Zaid, January 2017

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    Quote Originally Posted by Darth Omar View Post
    The down tick was fairly predictable.
    Yep, even a new pres. candidate gets a spike in polling when they first announce.

    I condemn the National Socialist German Workers Party, the Socialist Democrat Hate Whitey Party,... and Socialist Workers party heroes, Mao, Chavez, Mussolini, Pol Pot, Stalin, Castro and Kim Jung Un.

    Liberal Racist code: Orange is the New White

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    Quote Originally Posted by anatta View Post
    Poll: Support for impeachment inquiry ticks down- Politico
    The irony of these polls is that probably only 25% of the voting public give a shit or watch this clown show. So let's see; 48% of nothing is.......
    Page 173 V I: Ultimately, the investigation did not establish that the Campaign coordinated or conspired with the Russian government in its election-interference activities.


    Eric Holder: “I’m still enjoying what I’m doing, there’s still work to be done,” I’m still the President’s wing-man, so I’m there with my boy.”

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    Quote Originally Posted by ThatFOWLWoman View Post
    Funny how polls only count if they say what you want to hear. blah, blah, blah, blah, blah
    Page 173 V I: Ultimately, the investigation did not establish that the Campaign coordinated or conspired with the Russian government in its election-interference activities.


    Eric Holder: “I’m still enjoying what I’m doing, there’s still work to be done,” I’m still the President’s wing-man, so I’m there with my boy.”

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    Quote Originally Posted by Cypress View Post
    That is within a statistical margin of error blah, blah, blah, blah, blah
    ^^Another willful idiot who is going to go over the edge in 2020.
    Page 173 V I: Ultimately, the investigation did not establish that the Campaign coordinated or conspired with the Russian government in its election-interference activities.


    Eric Holder: “I’m still enjoying what I’m doing, there’s still work to be done,” I’m still the President’s wing-man, so I’m there with my boy.”

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    Quote Originally Posted by Truth Detector View Post
    The irony of these polls is that probably only 25% of the voting public give a shit or watch this clown show. So let's see; 48% of nothing is.......
    It was on at the gym 20 minutes ago lol.

    My gym buddy doesn’t like Trump—says Trump’s character doesn’t suit the office etc etc.

    But he really doesn’t like what democrats are trying to do to him. He said “the MF’er won the election and democrats need to just deal with it”.

    Not sure how representative he is but I’m sure he’s not alone in his ‘analysis’.
    Coup has started. First of many steps. Impeachment will follow ultimately~WB attorney Mark Zaid, January 2017

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    Quote Originally Posted by Cypress View Post
    That is within a statistical margin of error at the 95 percent confidence interval, and is therefore completely meaningless mathematically.

    The bottom line - there is no significant statistical difference between polls measuring a two or three percent difference.
    The proper conclusion is that there has been no detectable statistical change in the level of support for impeachment.
    Annatta's own poll reports the margin of error for the sample group is plus or minus 2 percent. It is a safe assumption that they used a 95 percent confidence interval by convention. That means we can only be 95 percent confident that the actual support for impeachment for the population as a whole is somewhere between 46 and 50 percent. We can't say exactly, only that it likely falls within that range. There is also a 5 percent chance that actual support for impeachment in the population as a whole is either higher than 50 percent or lower than 46 percent.

    Since the change in support for impeachment in this poll is not outside the margin of error, the proper conclusion is that we detect no statistical change in support for impeachment compared to the previous poll. Though the uptick in opposition to impeachment by one percent outside the margin of error is, by convention, a statistically significant little uptick. But way too trivial to spike any footballs, so we would have to see more polling to infer a trend.

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    Quote Originally Posted by ThatOwlWoman View Post
    Funny how polls only count if they say what you want to hear. No doubt this one will be rejected -- by the RWers. lol

    "But based on testimony and evidence presented so far, 47 percent of Americans said in the latest poll that they are more likely to support impeachment, while 41 percent said they were less likely to do so."

    and



    Source for both: https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politic...rted-poll-says
    You mean like how lefties will automatically believe this one?

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    Quote Originally Posted by Darth Omar View Post
    It was on at the gym 20 minutes ago lol.

    My gym buddy doesn’t like Trump—says Trump’s character doesn’t suit the office etc etc.

    But he really doesn’t like what democrats are trying to do to him. He said “the MF’er won the election and democrats need to just deal with it”.

    Not sure how representative he is but I’m sure he’s not alone in his ‘analysis’.
    Isn't that what Obama told those that didn't want him elected?

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