Trump in a landslide? This historically accurate model predicts exactly that

[Grokmaster]

Moody's has been right EVERY ELECTION SINCE 1980....the ONLY "MISS" THEY HAD , LIKE EVERY OTHER PUNDIT, WAS TRUMP, 2016.


They KNOW BETTER NOW....ENJOY!!




Trump in a landslide? This historically accurate model predicts exactly that



President Donald Trump has a love/hate relationship with polls, surveys and predictions. He loves the ones that paint him in a positive light, and, of course, he hates all those “fake” ones that don’t.

He’s going to absolutely adore this one.

According to Moody’s Analytics, Trump is headed toward another four years in the White House. And, if the numbers are right, it won’t even be close.

In fact, his Electoral College victory could very well be wider than the 304-227 margin he enjoyed over Democratic rival Hillary Clinton in the 2016 election.

Since 1980, Moody’s has managed to nail the outcome every time but once — like many, it didn’t see Trump coming.

“In our post-mortem of the 2016 presidential election model,” the report said, “we determined that unexpected turnout patterns were one of the factors that contributed to the model’s first incorrect election prediction.” Here’s Moody’s track record, including a 2016 adjustment for the turnout variable:







Moody’s uses three models to come up with its forecast. In each case, Trump gets at least 289 Electoral College votes.

The “pocketbook” measure, which focus on how people feel about their money situation, is where Trump shines brightest, grabbing a whopping 351 electoral votes. “If voters were to vote primarily on the basis of their pocketbooks, the president would steamroll the competition,” the report said.

The stock-market model gives him the slightest edge of 289-249, as investors continue to navigate a volatile investing landscape. Then there’s the unemployment model, which leans heavily in his favor at 332-206.


https://www.yahoo.com/finance/m/5018...e%3F-this.html

[Grokmaster]

Moody looks to be RIGHT, AGAIN!!

[Jade Dragon]

Technically they were right since polls go on voting numbers. Hillary won the numbers but lost on odd technicalities most people in the world don't work by.

[canceled.2021.2]

Technically they were right since polls go on voting numbers. Hillary won the numbers but lost on odd technicalities most people in the world don't work by.

Odd technicality?

You mean the “odd technicality” that has elected EVERY President since our founding?

It’s just an odd technicality?

You really are an ignorant fuck

[CFM]

Odd technicality?

You mean the “odd technicality” that has elected EVERY President since our founding?

It’s just an odd technicality?

You really are an ignorant fuck

He hates the Constitution.

[Hoosier Daddy]

Odd technicality?

You mean the “odd technicality” that has elected EVERY President since our founding?

It’s just an odd technicality?

You really are an ignorant fuck

odd for the rest of the world who elects its own leaders, stupid fuck bitch. did you know we are not the only country in the world, you silly ass dumbfuck?

[CFM]

Technically they were right since polls go on voting numbers. Hillary won the numbers but lost on odd technicalities most people in the world don't work by.

Are you saying the manner in which every President has been elected and which is outlined in the Constitution you hate is an odd technicality?

[CFM]

Technically they were right since polls go on voting numbers. Hillary won the numbers but lost on odd technicalities most people in the world don't work by.

Where in that table does it mention overall popular vote. I do see electoral votes referenced. If you actually looked at it instead of continuing to whine because Hillary got her ass kicked, you'd see the truth.

[Earl]

Technically they were right since polls go on voting numbers. Hillary won the numbers but lost on odd technicalities most people in the world don't work by.

Indeed, most people in the world don't have a Constitution as we do.

[Eagle_Eye]

Technically they were right since polls go on voting numbers. Hillary won the numbers but lost on odd technicalities most people in the world don't work by.

What odd technicalities? Trump won the most electoral votes and that is not an odd technicality.

[Micawber]

I had no idea disgraced criminals impeached and removed from office and while rotting in jail fared so well in the following US election, historically speaking..

Thanks for that!

[MAGA MAN]

I had no idea disgraced criminals impeached and removed from office and while rotting in jail fared so well in the following US election, historically speaking..

Thanks for that!

The gig is up. Thinking folk see the pattern of 'rats making unfounded accusations, screaming and yelling, then nothing to back it up. It's no longer being taken seriously.

Remember the story of the boy who cried "wolf!". It's exactly like that.

[LV426]

Moody's is assuming the economic conditions we have now will continue through election day next year. But everyone knows they won't, and that we will likely be in a recession by this time next year. How does that change their models?

Also, with Trump running, all bets are off.

[Micawber]

What election? Bahahahahhahahahhhahhah!

[reagansghost]

Trump in a landslide? This historically accurate model predicts exactly that

is it a 'historically accurate' model for impeached incumbents?