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Thread: Trump in a landslide? This historically accurate model predicts exactly that

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    Default Trump in a landslide? This historically accurate model predicts exactly that

    Moody's has been right EVERY ELECTION SINCE 1980....the ONLY "MISS" THEY HAD , LIKE EVERY OTHER PUNDIT, WAS TRUMP, 2016.


    They KNOW BETTER NOW....ENJOY!!





    Trump in a landslide? This historically accurate model predicts exactly that



    President Donald Trump has a love/hate relationship with polls, surveys and predictions. He loves the ones that paint him in a positive light, and, of course, he hates all those “fake” ones that don’t.

    He’s going to absolutely adore this one.

    According to Moody’s Analytics, Trump is headed toward another four years in the White House. And, if the numbers are right, it won’t even be close.

    In fact, his Electoral College victory could very well be wider than the 304-227 margin he enjoyed over Democratic rival Hillary Clinton in the 2016 election.

    Since 1980, Moody’s has managed to nail the outcome every time but once — like many, it didn’t see Trump coming.

    “In our post-mortem of the 2016 presidential election model,” the report said, “we determined that unexpected turnout patterns were one of the factors that contributed to the model’s first incorrect election prediction.” Here’s Moody’s track record, including a 2016 adjustment for the turnout variable:








    Moody’s uses three models to come up with its forecast. In each case, Trump gets at least 289 Electoral College votes.

    The “pocketbook” measure, which focus on how people feel about their money situation, is where Trump shines brightest, grabbing a whopping 351 electoral votes. “If voters were to vote primarily on the basis of their pocketbooks, the president would steamroll the competition,” the report said.

    The stock-market model gives him the slightest edge of 289-249, as investors continue to navigate a volatile investing landscape. Then there’s the unemployment model, which leans heavily in his favor at 332-206.



    https://www.yahoo.com/finance/m/5018...e%3F-this.html
    TRUMP WILL TAKE FORTY STATES...UNLESS THE SAME IDIOTS WHO BROUGHT US THE 2020 DUNCE-O-CRAT IOWA CLUSTERFUCK CONTINUE THEIR SEDITIOUS ACTIVITIES...THEN HE WILL WIN EVEN MORE ..UNLESS THE RED CHINESE AND DNC COLLUDE, USE A PANDEMIC, AND THEN THE DEMOCRATS VIOLATE ARTICLE II OF THE CONSTITUTION, TO FACILLITATE MILLIONS OF ILLEGAL, UNVETTED, MAIL IN BALLOTS IN THE DARK OF NIGHT..


    De Oppresso Liber

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    Moody looks to be RIGHT, AGAIN!!
    TRUMP WILL TAKE FORTY STATES...UNLESS THE SAME IDIOTS WHO BROUGHT US THE 2020 DUNCE-O-CRAT IOWA CLUSTERFUCK CONTINUE THEIR SEDITIOUS ACTIVITIES...THEN HE WILL WIN EVEN MORE ..UNLESS THE RED CHINESE AND DNC COLLUDE, USE A PANDEMIC, AND THEN THE DEMOCRATS VIOLATE ARTICLE II OF THE CONSTITUTION, TO FACILLITATE MILLIONS OF ILLEGAL, UNVETTED, MAIL IN BALLOTS IN THE DARK OF NIGHT..


    De Oppresso Liber

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    Technically they were right since polls go on voting numbers. Hillary won the numbers but lost on odd technicalities most people in the world don't work by.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Jade Dragon View Post
    Technically they were right since polls go on voting numbers. Hillary won the numbers but lost on odd technicalities most people in the world don't work by.
    We have the First Past The Post system here, not that you would know that, Try not to be so Moody in future!!

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics...voting-system/ it
    Last edited by cancel2 2022; 10-16-2019 at 04:17 AM.

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    If you desire to live in a country with a wannabe dictator, by all means, go to the countries which have the ones who Trump admires the most (N. Korea, Russia, The Philippines, Saudi, etc.) Because this is the USA and we are ridding ourselves of the abomination that is Donald Trump. Bye Bye!!
    Last edited by Cinnabar; 10-16-2019 at 12:50 AM.
    BLUEXIT
    A Modest Proposal For Separating Blue States From Red

    Dear Red-State Trump Voter,
    Let’s face it, guys: We’re done.


    It is a tragedy that so much of the work that so many men and women toiled at for so long to make this a better country, and a better world, has been thrown away, leaving us all in such needless peril.

    This is why our separation in all but name is necessary.


    https://newrepublic.com/article/1409...mp-red-america

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    Quote Originally Posted by Jade Dragon View Post
    Technically they were right since polls go on voting numbers. Hillary won the numbers but lost on odd technicalities most people in the world don't work by.
    Odd technicality?

    You mean the “odd technicality” that has elected EVERY President since our founding?

    It’s just an odd technicality?

    You really are an ignorant fuck

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    Even the Russians know not to let Trump win in a landslide.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Jade Dragon View Post
    Technically they were right since polls go on voting numbers. Hillary won the numbers but lost on odd technicalities most people in the world don't work by.
    Are you saying the manner in which every President has been elected and which is outlined in the Constitution you hate is an odd technicality?

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    Quote Originally Posted by Teflon Don View Post
    Odd technicality?

    You mean the “odd technicality” that has elected EVERY President since our founding?

    It’s just an odd technicality?

    You really are an ignorant fuck
    He hates the Constitution.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Jade Dragon View Post
    Technically they were right since polls go on voting numbers. Hillary won the numbers but lost on odd technicalities most people in the world don't work by.
    Where in that table does it mention overall popular vote. I do see electoral votes referenced. If you actually looked at it instead of continuing to whine because Hillary got her ass kicked, you'd see the truth.

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    He's polling over 20% for African-Americans. That spells disaster for the 'Rat Party.

    When I meet black guys now, they are happy. They have jobs, and the guys mu age are into classic cars like I am. Back during The Obama, mos of them just seemed pissed off.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Jade Dragon View Post
    Technically they were right since polls go on voting numbers. Hillary won the numbers but lost on odd technicalities most people in the world don't work by.
    Indeed, most people in the world don't have a Constitution as we do.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Jade Dragon View Post
    Technically they were right since polls go on voting numbers. Hillary won the numbers but lost on odd technicalities most people in the world don't work by.
    What odd technicalities? Trump won the most electoral votes and that is not an odd technicality.

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    I had no idea disgraced criminals impeached and removed from office and while rotting in jail fared so well in the following US election, historically speaking..

    Thanks for that!

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    Quote Originally Posted by Micawber View Post
    I had no idea disgraced criminals impeached and removed from office and while rotting in jail fared so well in the following US election, historically speaking..

    Thanks for that!
    The gig is up. Thinking folk see the pattern of 'rats making unfounded accusations, screaming and yelling, then nothing to back it up. It's no longer being taken seriously.

    Remember the story of the boy who cried "wolf!". It's exactly like that.

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