Move over 528 (Silver) there's a NEW GIRL in town. VA prof who called ALL '18 RACES!

[Centerleftfl]

Okay, -1 (we need more thread TITLE space)
Interesting, VERY INTERESTING! I think we should call it the 2ND WAVE.

PS Unfortunately she can't factor in RUSSIANS!

PSS Notice the highlighted paragraph, she gets NO credit nor even mentioned. Anyway here heard of her or read her? Maybe it's because 'she' is a GIRL.


Does anyone understand the 2020 race? This scholar nailed the blue wave — here's her forecast

Rachel Bitecofer predicted last year's midterms with incredible accuracy. Her 2020 forecast is ... not too bad

PAUL ROSENBERG

AUGUST 17, 2019 4:25PM (UTC)

These are tough times for independent journalism. If you value Salon's original reporting and commentary, we urge you to support it — by supporting our writers directly. Right here, right now, you can make a financial contribution to help make Paul Rosenberg's work possible. Every dollar you donate goes straight to the writer you choose — Salon doesn’t take a cut.In July 2018, the most widely respected analysts were decidedly uncertain whether the Democrats could retake the House. On July 6, Cook Political Report, for example, listed 180 seats as "solid" for Democrats, with 12 likely/lean and 3 "toss-up or worse." If the Democrats won all of those and the 22 GOP-held seats described as "toss-ups" — they'd still be one seat short of a majority, at 217.

But on July 1, newcomer Rachel Bitecofer, assistant director of the Judy Ford Wason Center for Public Policy at Christopher Newport University in Newport News, Virginia, released her prediction of a 42-seat "blue wave," while also citing the Arizona and Texas U.S. Senate races as “toss-ups.” Her startling prediction was numerically close to perfect; Democrats will end up with a gain of 40 or 41 seats, depending how the re-run in North Carolina's 9th district turns out. (Democrat Kyrsten Sinema won the Arizona Senate race, in a major historical shift, and Beto O'Rourke came close in Texas.) Furthermore, she even strutted a little, writing on Nov. 2 that she hadn't adjusted her seat count, but that “the last few months have been about filling in the blanks on which specific seats will flip.” Her resulting list of those was also close to perfect.

With a record like that, you’d think that Bitecofer's explanation of what happened would have drawn universal attention and become common sense — but you’d be sadly mistaken. She’s barely beginning to get the recognition she deserves, and more troubling for the country, the outdated assumptions her model dispensed with continue to cloud the thinking of pundits and Democratic Party leadership alike. (Follow her on Twitter here.)

This hampers efforts to counter Donald Trump’s destructive impact on a daily basis, and spreads confusion about both Democratic prospects and strategy in the 2020 election prospects. Above all, the mistaken belief that Democrats won in 2018 by gaining Republican support (aka winning back "Trump voters") fuels an illusory search for an ill-defined middle ground that could actually demobilize the Democratic leaners and voters who actually drove last year's blue wave...


https://www.salon.com/2019/08/17/thi...2020-forecast/

[TOP]

528?

[evince]

The Russians hung back in 2018


they USED the electoral college as a manipulation platform


who knows what they ( and now other hostile nations) will do this go round

[Centerleftfl]

The Russians hung back in 2018


they USED the electoral college as a manipulation platform


who knows what they ( and now other hostile nations) will do this go round

Yep, PLAUSIBLE DENIABILITY. For state shit, they might literally have to go into SYSTEMS and change them.

[evince]

they now have a head start

BECASE OF MOSCOW MITCH

[canceled.2021.2]

The Russians hung back in 2018


they USED the electoral college as a manipulation platform


who knows what they ( and now other hostile nations) will do this go round

the plans are already in motion

you can do nothing to stop it

remember, it doesn't matter who votes. what matters is who counts the votes and we are counting

[Centerleftfl]

they now have a head start

BECASE OF MOSCOW MITCH

You bet your ass! I have GRAVE concerns.

[Gonzomin]

There is always someone who claims to predict results perfectly. This is not new. That is how Silverman got started. He was the best at predicting and made a big business out of it.He has shown staying ability.

[PostmodernProphet]

the plans are already in motion

you can do nothing to stop it

remember, it doesn't matter who votes. what matters is who counts the votes and we are counting

??????.......sounds like a threat to miscount votes.......is that the "winning strategy" in your back pocket?..........

[PostmodernProphet]

so I read the article behind the article and I find that the numbers you are tossing around in the OP were her predictions for 2018......so far she has only predicted the electoral votes for 2020, which are basically the same as 2016 except for Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania voting blue instead of red........if you want that to happen, choose your nominee wisely.......

[Centerleftfl]

the plans are already in motion

you can do nothing to stop it

remember, it doesn't matter who votes. what matters is who counts the votes and we are counting

NOW THEY ARE NOW ADMITING IT! I'm taking a camera shot of this page thread.

[Earl]

Keep us informed.

Lol

[Micawber]

So what is Bitecofer's prediction? It just says how good her last one was.

[Earl]

“NOW THEY ARE NOW ADMITING IT!”

A redundant sentence, bad grammar. All upper case, bad grammar.

Incorrect conclusion...bad.

Bad thread.

[PostmodernProphet]

NOW THEY ARE NOW ADMITING IT! I'm taking a camera shot of this page thread.

probably what he intended......