The Hill: Trump is on the path to reelection
Reply With QuoteThe Hill:
"In a recent NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll many Americans reported that they are dissatisfied with President Donald Trump and find his behavior grossly offensive. Yet, Trump appears on course for reelection.
Why? First, a good economy. Presidents who preside over a strong economy are favored to be reelected.
Second, Trump is a master at gaining media attention and dominating narrative. Reality TV gave Trump an understanding of what plays well on broadcast media. His unfiltered Tweets lay out his agenda, attack opponents, and directly communicate with the national audience.
Third, Presidential elections are determined by state electoral votes, not by popular vote. Trump maintains strong support in key battleground states in the industrial Midwest and in traditional Republican leaning states.
Most states and regions have become reliably Democratic or Republican. The 2016 presidential election saw three states — Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin — Democratic since the 1980’s, give their electoral votes by narrow margins to Trump.
Fourth, Trump has excellent political instincts. His attack on the “squad” of four left-leaning House Democrats was brilliant political strategy. It has proven popular with his base and succeeded in wedding the “squad” of progressive, controversial lawmakers to the Democratic Party.
Prior to Trump’s attacks, Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) and many House Democrats attempted to restrain the “squad” from attacking and from encouraging primary challenges to moderate Democratic House members. They were also distancing the party from the left-leaning agenda of the “squad.” The Trump attacks forced Pelosi and Democrats to support the “squad” and mute any criticism of their behavior or agenda.
Fifth, deep and seemingly unbridgeable divisions among Democrats help Thump — especially in battleground states. Progressive-left and moderate Democrats are at odds over election tactics, strategy, and policy direction. Progressives have distanced themselves from a working class negatively impacted by globalization and unfair trade practices.
Progressives embrace liberal cultural and social values, open borders, a globalized economy, extreme environmental policies, government-only medical coverage, and extensive social safety-net programing."
Originally Posted by Earl
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