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    Default 3 forecast modelers predict Trump will win in 2020

    Steven Rattner, "car czar" and counselor to the Treasury secretary in the Obama administration, cites three different modelers in his N.Y. Times commentary, "Trump’s Formidable 2020 Tailwind."

    The big picture: Trump wins all three modelers. Economists predict that the tailwind is large.

    Ray Fair, a professor at Yale, "found that the growth rates of gross domestic product and inflation have been the two most important economic predictors — but he also found that incumbency was also an important determinant of presidential election outcomes."

    "Mark Zandi, the chief economist at Moody’s Analytics, has looked at 12 models, and Mr. Trump wins in all of them."


    https://www.axios.com/trump-2020-pre...b7828afa5.html

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    If Democrats can't beat Trump, they need to start re-evaluating their Platform.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Jack View Post
    If Democrats can't beat Trump, they need to start re-evaluating their Platform.
    Not at all, running as an incumbent works in his favor, other than HW Bush who was the last one to lose, plus the fact that whole election will come down to three or four states, and after what we witnessed in 2016, who knows who and how others will be aiding Trump in those three or four states

    Currently, too far out to predict, year and half is a long time in politics

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    Quote Originally Posted by archives View Post
    Not at all, running as an incumbent works in his favor, other than HW Bush who was the last one to lose, plus the fact that whole election will come down to three or four states, and after what we witnessed in 2016, who knows who and how others will be aiding Trump in those three or four states

    Currently, too far out to predict, year and half is a long time in politics
    (shaking head) With picks like Uncle Ben for Housing, I don't know how much clearer 'incompetence' goes.
    (any idea when we'll be invading Iran?)

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    Quote Originally Posted by Jack View Post
    (shaking head) With picks like Uncle Ben for Housing, I don't know how much clearer 'incompetence' goes.
    (any idea when we'll be invading Iran?)
    How many Americans know or care about the Secretary of HUD?

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    Quote Originally Posted by Jack View Post
    If Democrats can't beat Trump, they need to start re-evaluating their Platform.
    Yes. They are out of economic touch and completely reliant on Identity Politics
    A loss would force them into a reality check

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    Quote Originally Posted by anatta View Post
    Yes. They are out of economic touch and completely reliant on Identity Politics
    A loss would force them into a reality check
    The loss by Hillary to Donald Trump was the 'Wake Up Call'. If THAT didn't do it, nothing will.

    (STOP focusing on Transgender Bathrooms and START focusing on the American Working Class)

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    Quote Originally Posted by Jack View Post
    The loss by Hillary to Donald Trump was the 'Wake Up Call'. If THAT didn't do it, nothing will.

    (STOP focusing on Transgender Bathrooms and START focusing on the American Working Class)
    the problem is their policies suck as well

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    Quote Originally Posted by Jack View Post
    If Democrats can't beat Trump, they need to start re-evaluating their Platform.
    They should have been doing that in 2010 when they lost the House, in 2014 when they lost the Senate and 2016 when they lost the White House. Democrats are too arrogant and stupid to learn from history.
    "When government fears the people, there is liberty. When the people fear the government, there is tyranny."


    A lie doesn't become the truth, wrong doesn't become right, and evil doesn't become good just because it is accepted by a majority.
    Author: Booker T. Washington



    Quote Originally Posted by Nomad View Post
    Unless you just can't stand the idea of "ni**ers" teaching white kids.


    Quote Originally Posted by AProudLefty View Post
    Address the topic, not other posters.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Truth Detector View Post
    They should have been doing that in 2010 when they lost the House, in 2014 when they lost the Senate and 2016 when they lost the White House. Democrats are too arrogant and stupid to learn from history.
    If they can't beat Trump in 2020, I'll have to agree with you.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Jack View Post
    If they can't beat Trump in 2020, I'll have to agree with you.
    How are they going to beat him? What platform? "Anyone but Trump?"??

    You have 25 candidates running in this clown show and the top polling are OLD WHITE LEFTIST, and in one case, MARXIST MEN.
    "When government fears the people, there is liberty. When the people fear the government, there is tyranny."


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    Quote Originally Posted by Nomad View Post
    Unless you just can't stand the idea of "ni**ers" teaching white kids.


    Quote Originally Posted by AProudLefty View Post
    Address the topic, not other posters.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Truth Detector View Post
    How are they going to beat him? What platform? "Anyone but Trump?"??

    You have 25 candidates running in this clown show and the top polling are OLD WHITE LEFTIST, and in one case, MARXIST MEN.
    'Medicare for All', would be a winning position.
    Getting back to the Paris Accord on Climate Change would be a winning position.
    NOT fighting Saudi Arabia's and Israel's War with Iran would be a winning position.
    Putting out a 'No Vacancy' sign at the Border would be a winning position.

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    Quote Originally Posted by volsrock View Post
    Steven Rattner, "car czar" and counselor to the Treasury secretary in the Obama administration, cites three different modelers in his N.Y. Times commentary, "Trump’s Formidable 2020 Tailwind."

    The big picture: Trump wins all three modelers. Economists predict that the tailwind is large.

    Ray Fair, a professor at Yale, "found that the growth rates of gross domestic product and inflation have been the two most important economic predictors — but he also found that incumbency was also an important determinant of presidential election outcomes."

    "Mark Zandi, the chief economist at Moody’s Analytics, has looked at 12 models, and Mr. Trump wins in all of them."


    https://www.axios.com/trump-2020-pre...b7828afa5.html
    Donald Trump will be headed to jail by December 2020! LOL!

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    Quote Originally Posted by Adolf_Twitler View Post
    Donald Trump will be headed to jail by December 2020! LOL!
    This is America. The establishment oligarchs don't go to jail.

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    Quote Originally Posted by StoneByStone View Post
    This is America. The establishment oligarchs don't go to jail.
    That's why Hillary and The Obama will never be charged. A long line of their underlings will be thrown under the bus instead...

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