June 3, 2008 -- Hillary Rodham Clinton and Mitt Romney are the favorites to be their parties' vice-presidential nominees, according to a popular online betting site.
Intrade, which correctly picked the winner of every state in the 2004 general election, evaluates the veepstakes chances of 30 prominent political figures - 16 Democrats and 14 Republicans.
Among Democrats, Clinton holds a slight lead over Virginia Sen. James Webb, with a 21 percent chance of her being named to the No. 2 spot, compared with Webb's 19.7 percent.
In a distant third place is New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson, at 6.2 percent.
On the GOP side, there are three leaders, Romney at 19.2 percent, Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty at 15.6 percent and former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee at 14.1 percent, according to Intrade.
Intrade is one of several online political "prediction markets" in which participants speculate on outcomes of campaigns, election turnout, the chances of a brokered Democratic convention and even whether Eliot Spitzer will get indicted.
Intrade's participants hedged their bets saying there's an excellent chance the veep picks will be "none of the above."
They say there's a 40.8 percent possibility none of the 14 prominent Republicans drawing attention will get the nod. For Democrats, the figure is 28.5 percent.
Q: Senator Obama, would you take the same pledge? No tax increases on people under $250,000?
OBAMA: I not only have pledged not to raise their taxes, I've been the first candidate in this race to specifically say I would cut their taxes.
I think it’s going to be Edwards, simply because I have been checking out state by state polling, and it has only been getting better for that ticket. I am a contrarian on this, most say it won’t be him. But this is not wishful thinking. I did not think Edwards was going to be vp until recently. Unless he is truly dead-set against it, I think it will be him.
Quote from Cypress:
"Scientists don't use "averages". Maybe armchair supertools on message boards ascribe some meaning to "averages" between two random data points. And maybe clueless amatuers "draw a straight line" through two random end data points to define a "trend". Experts don't.
They use mean annual and five year means in trend analysis. Don't tell me I have to explain the difference to you. "
i think romney for sure. and ill go with webb
Q: Senator Obama, would you take the same pledge? No tax increases on people under $250,000?
OBAMA: I not only have pledged not to raise their taxes, I've been the first candidate in this race to specifically say I would cut their taxes.
Quote from Cypress:
"Scientists don't use "averages". Maybe armchair supertools on message boards ascribe some meaning to "averages" between two random data points. And maybe clueless amatuers "draw a straight line" through two random end data points to define a "trend". Experts don't.
They use mean annual and five year means in trend analysis. Don't tell me I have to explain the difference to you. "
Quote from Cypress:
"Scientists don't use "averages". Maybe armchair supertools on message boards ascribe some meaning to "averages" between two random data points. And maybe clueless amatuers "draw a straight line" through two random end data points to define a "trend". Experts don't.
They use mean annual and five year means in trend analysis. Don't tell me I have to explain the difference to you. "
webb will trounce Mccain on national security. Also hes a very moderate dem (former pub) so will balance out obamas perceived extreme left.
Put it this way the loony left don't like webb all that much cause hes not a socialist.
Q: Senator Obama, would you take the same pledge? No tax increases on people under $250,000?
OBAMA: I not only have pledged not to raise their taxes, I've been the first candidate in this race to specifically say I would cut their taxes.
Richardson,
Don't need warhawkWebb or WussieEdwards
fuck webb or clinton.
Why the hell isn't he considering Edwards, or Sherod Brown
Webb would be good. Edwards could be attorney general and fix the DOJ.
No way desh, I changed my mind about Webb!
Q: Senator Obama, would you take the same pledge? No tax increases on people under $250,000?
OBAMA: I not only have pledged not to raise their taxes, I've been the first candidate in this race to specifically say I would cut their taxes.
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