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Thread: bond yields

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    Default bond yields


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    On Monday, the difference between the 10-year Treasury yield, at 2.97 percent, and the 2-year yield, at 2.82 percent, dramatically narrowed by 5 basis points, the biggest one day move since late March.


    Traders have been watching the difference between the yields on various Treasurys for months, along what is called the yield curve between the longer and shorter-term bonds.

    And in this time, the longer duration 10-year yield has gotten closer and closer to the yield on the 2-year.

    If the two should flip, and the 2 -year yield actually rises above the benchmark 10-year, that inversion would be a signal of a recession.


    The two yields are currently just under 15 basis points apart, the narrowest since around the time they last inverted in June 2007.

    What's worrisome for some is that on Monday, the difference between the yields on the 3-year and 5-year, and those of the 2-year and 5-year, inverted.

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    I'm glad you're on top of this, Evince.

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    Jack (12-04-2018)

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    The two yields are currently just under 15 basis points apart, the narrowest since around the time they last inverted in June 2007.




    are we going to YET again have a republican president crash the economy

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    Quote Originally Posted by evince View Post
    it matters
    It does. Let me know right before the bottom falls out so I can shift to cash. Thanks in advance.

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    Quote Originally Posted by evince View Post
    it matters
    Yes it does but people voted donkey anyway to cause it.
    Go figure....
    "Those who vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." Joseph Stalin
    The USA has lost WWIV to China with no other weapons but China Virus and some cash to buy democrats.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Jack View Post
    It does. Let me know right before the bottom falls out so I can shift to cash. Thanks in advance.
    That ship may have sailed
    "Those who vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." Joseph Stalin
    The USA has lost WWIV to China with no other weapons but China Virus and some cash to buy democrats.

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    Quote Originally Posted by evince View Post
    The two yields are currently just under 15 basis points apart, the narrowest since around the time they last inverted in June 2007.




    are we going to YET again have a republican president crash the economy
    No a democrat congress as usual.
    "Those who vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." Joseph Stalin
    The USA has lost WWIV to China with no other weapons but China Virus and some cash to buy democrats.

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    Quote Originally Posted by evince View Post
    how about now
    I believe you, I have already taken some profits off the Table.

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    Quote Originally Posted by evince View Post
    The two yields are currently just under 15 basis points apart, the narrowest since around the time they last inverted in June 2007.




    are we going to YET again have a republican president crash the economy
    From your article:

    "Normally, I think the bond market people are geniuses but not today," Schumacher said. "Does it really think there's a recession coming? I don't think so."
    Don't be afraid to see what you see

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    Quote Originally Posted by Guille View Post
    From your article:
    and ?


    I was here along with uscitizen predicting a big crash when EXPERTS were claiming things were fine in the leadup to the 2008 freefall

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    Quote Originally Posted by evince View Post
    and ?


    I was here along with uscitizen predicting a big crash when EXPERTS were claiming things were fine in the leadup to the 2008 freefall
    You posted an article...again...without reading it first. The main dude being interviewed doesn't think there's going to be a recession.
    Don't be afraid to see what you see

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