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Thread: Climatologist: Florida’s Hurricanes – No Change In 118 Years

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    Default Climatologist: Florida’s Hurricanes – No Change In 118 Years

    Florida-major-hurricanes.jpg

    I’ve updated a plot of Florida major hurricane strikes (above) since 1900 with Hurricane Michael, and the result is that there is still no trend in either intensity or frequency of strikes over the last 118 years.

    This is based upon National Hurricane Center data. The trend line in intensity is flat, and the trend line in the number of storms (not shown) is insignificantly downward.

    Nevertheless, the usual fearmongers are claiming Hurricane Michael is somehow tied to climate change.

    After all, the Gulf of Mexico is unusually warm, right?

    Yes, but if you look at the history of Jul-Aug-Sept average sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies over the eastern Gulf (available here, 25N-30N, 80W-90W), you will see that since 1860, this summer is only the 9th warmest in the eastern Gulf of Mexico.

    Even more astounding is that out of the top 10 warmest Gulf years since 1860, 7 occurred before 1970, which is before we experienced any significant warming.

    So, all the “experts” can do is make vague claims about how major hurricanes like Michael are what we can expect more of in a warming world, but the data show that – so far at least – the data do not support the theory.

    Major hurricanes are part of nature. As evidence of this, I will also remind people of the study of lake bottom sediments in Western Lake in the Florida panhandle, not far from where Michael made landfall.

    It showed the last 1,000 years have been relatively quiet for Category 4 to 5 hurricanes, but the period from 1,000 to 3,400 years ago was a “hyperactive” period for intense landfalls at that location.

    Hurricane strikes in the U.S. are notoriously variable, as evidenced by the recent (and unprecedented) 11+ year “drought” in major hurricane landfalls, which was finally broken in 2017.

    Where were the claims that the hurricane drought was due to global warming?

    Crickets.

    Attributing the latest hurricane in any way to global warming is the ultimate in cherry-picking the data. In fact, they don’t even show the data.

    Which brings us back to those vague claims by the experts.

    UPDATE:

    I also included Michael in the count of ALL U.S. landfalling major hurricanes, again from NHC data. The marked downward trend since the 1930s, 40s, and 50s is quite evident:

    Major-landfalling-US-hurricanes-by-decade-3-550x413.jpgb

    http://www.drroyspencer.com/2018/10/...till-no-trend/
    Last edited by cancel2 2022; 10-17-2018 at 04:11 AM.

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    Won't be long before someone comes in here and claims Spencer isn't a real scientist.


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    Quote Originally Posted by Guille View Post
    Won't be long before someone comes in here and claims Spencer isn't a real scientist.

    Yes, the Wiki Witch of the West will no doubt tell us he once had a coal fire in his house.

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    I noticed you didn't thread ban the usual suspects. This should be good.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Guille View Post
    I noticed you didn't thread ban the usual suspects. This should be good.
    No I didn't, just wanted to see the fools at play. Of course Roy Spencer is a Christian, so that is one of the alarmist favourite targets. They can't dispute the data, so they go for something else instead.

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    Dont tell the globalists, it hurts thier one world slave agenda.

    Sent from my SM-G955U1 using Tapatalk

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    Quote Originally Posted by HillbillyStyle View Post
    Dont tell the globalists, it hurts thier one world slave agenda.

    Sent from my SM-G955U1 using Tapatalk
    Can't argue with that.

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    The sky is falling liberals only believe the "scientific evidence" that supports their causes

    Al Gore is their hero

    typical
    This just In::: Trump indicted for living in liberals heads and not paying RENT

    C̶N̶N̶ SNN.... Shithole News Network

    Trump Is Coming back to a White House Near you

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    Quote Originally Posted by Guille View Post
    Won't be long before someone comes in here and claims Spencer isn't a real scientist.

    Oh give us a fucking break!

    You are talking about the official Climatologist for the Rush Limbaugh Show and the Faux News Channel!

    Spencer has been proven wrong so many time, that he is a joke now in the Scientific world!

    Talk about the blind leading the blind! LOL!

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    Quote Originally Posted by Adolf_Twitler View Post
    Oh give us a fucking break!

    You are talking about the official Climatologist for the Rush Limbaugh Show and the Faux News Channel!

    Spencer has been proven wrong so many time, that he is a joke now in the Scientific world!

    Talk about the blind leading the blind! LOL!
    So what has he been proven wrong about?

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    Quote Originally Posted by Guille View Post
    Won't be long before someone comes in here and claims Spencer isn't a real scientist.

    He is not a Climatologist, as he and the poster proclaim, but rather a Meteorologist, just like the weather people you see on your local news. Roy has a long history of being a Flat Earther and working for Flat Earther groups, and his been discredited repeatingly

    https://www.desmogblog.com/roy-spencer

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    Quote Originally Posted by archives View Post
    He is not a Climatologist, as he and the poster proclaim, but rather a Meteorologist, just like the weather people you see on your local news. Roy has a long history of being a Flat Earther and working for Flat Earther groups, and his been discredited repeatingly

    https://www.desmogblog.com/roy-spencer
    Please show us a list of scientific classes required to become a climatologist vs. Meteorologist.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Adolf_Twitler View Post
    Oh give us a fucking break!

    You are talking about the official Climatologist for the Rush Limbaugh Show and the Faux News Channel!

    Spencer has been proven wrong so many time, that he is a joke now in the Scientific world!

    Talk about the blind leading the blind! LOL!
    It is amazing that he continues to post sophomoric essays from discredited individuals who can easily be debunked in a two minute simple search on Google.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Superfreak View Post
    Please show us a list of scientific classes required to become a climatologist vs. Meteorologist.
    A "list," are you looking for a college catalogue? You can find that on your own, but in general, a climatologist requires more education than a meteorologist:

    "Educational requirements also separate climatologists from many meteorologists. The New York Times reported that most climatologists work for universities and research organizations that require a Ph.D. Many meteorologists, especially those who work as television weather forecasters, have only a bachelor's degree"

    https://work.chron.com/climatologist...ist-16462.html

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    Quote Originally Posted by archives View Post
    He is not a Climatologist, as he and the poster proclaim, but rather a Meteorologist, just like the weather people you see on your local news. Roy has a long history of being a Flat Earther and working for Flat Earther groups, and his been discredited repeatingly

    https://www.desmogblog.com/roy-spencer
    Holy fuck, he's using DeSmogBlog now. Started by a financial conman who was sent to prison for fraud. What a idiot, even Rana gave up using it when she realised what a load of crap it is. Of course, Anchovies is far too naive and stupid to know that. He'll be using Hot Whopper next!!

    http://leftexposed.org/2016/08/desmogblog/

    http://www.populartechnology.net/201...desmogblog.htm

    http://www.populartechnology.net/201...esmogblog.html

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