house races....

[countryboy]

It does, slightly right, similar to the Wall Street Journal, and its' polls are informative but often skewed because it throws in the Razzy in the averages

Now if you are going to tell us it is liberal then that means you think the likes of Hannity are mainstream

Even Doucheberg's left leaning media bias "checker" only rates RCP as "center right". I can remember a time when LWNJs thought Obama was "center right".

[Nordberg]

generic polls are meaningless......sorry.....

All polls are.. sorrier. But they are guidelines. They are pretty damn close at election time.

[canceled.2021.2]

No, i am not. You are ascribing to me what you think. i know that the repugs have a bit less than 1 0ut of 4 of winning, now. Actually not highly likely. But a chance.
I thought Hillary lost when Comey made the speech. She was moving and that screeched on the brakes. I did not think she could recover from that. For Comey's reward, Trump fired him.

They have more than “a chance”. You don’t understand probability

As for Comey stop it. You did not think it cost her the election. It was a convenient excuse but she was going to lose

But you raise in interesting question

If Russia colluded/meddled in our election to elect Trump

AND

Comey cost Hillary the election

Should Comey be investigated for Russian collusion

[PostmodernProphet]

All polls are.. sorrier. But they are guidelines. They are pretty damn close at election time.

no.....not in congressional races....2.4 million votes in Los Angeles County will not elect a senator in Arizona or a representative in Michigan.......look at the individual polls.....

[PostmodernProphet]

RCP moves MN1 to likely Rep......31 tossups left.....oh wait....that used to be a demmycrat seat.....

[canceled.2021.2]

no.....not in congressional races....2.4 million votes in Los Angeles County will not elect a senator in Arizona or a representative in Michigan.......look at the individual polls.....

Soon we will have liberals it isn’t fair that individual districts elect their representatives.

Soon they will call for a National election of all races.

It is funny that when in power they made no moves to pack the court, eliminate the Electoral College or eliminate the Senate

But for some reason BACasscancer thinks all of his wishes will come true this November

I fear that if the democrats don’t take back the House that he will become so despondent that he will kill himself and deprive me the joy of knowing his ass cancer is going to kill him

[christiefan915]

over the last 30 days, the house race has firmed up.....
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...evious_changes

from 206 leaning Dem, 189 leaning Rep 40 tossup....Dems have actually DROPPED to 204, Republicans have added 10 to 199, and toss ups are now 32....

for those 32 seats almost all incumbents lead in the polls....eight are open seats......I predict the demmycrats will take ten in all.....leaving them four short of controlling the House......

Conor Lamb still holds a double-digit lead over Keith Rothfus.

"Rep. Conor Lamb (D-Pa.) has a 12-point lead over opponent Rep. Keith Rothfus (R-Pa.) in the nation’s only incumbent-versus-incumbent contest of the midterms. Lamb and Rothfus are running in Pennsylvania's newly-drawn 17th District.

The Pennsylvania Supreme Court ruled in January that the state’s congressional map is the result of gerrymandering to the point that it violates the state constitution. It ordered the map be redrawn before the midterm elections."

[PostmodernProphet]

Conor Lamb still holds a double-digit lead over Keith Rothfus.

"Rep. Conor Lamb (D-Pa.) has a 12-point lead over opponent Rep. Keith Rothfus (R-Pa.) in the nation’s only incumbent-versus-incumbent contest of the midterms. Lamb and Rothfus are running in Pennsylvania's newly-drawn 17th District.

The Pennsylvania Supreme Court ruled in January that the state’s congressional map is the result of gerrymandering to the point that it violates the state constitution. It ordered the map be redrawn before the midterm elections."

of course the state SC had approved it before the dems got control of the court.....now the demmycrats gerrymandered the 17th so badly that no one who voted in the district two years ago even lives there any more....RCP does list the district as belonging to you......my post is about the toss up states.....

[Irish Exit]

This happens. Happened in 2016. These days the conservatives really have trouble saying they support the GOP so they have to wait until the DNC screws up to pile on as "Anti-" Whatever/Whoever instead of Pro-Trump/GOP

[PostmodernProphet]

recent changes.....

10/21 TX22 Safe GOP »»» Likely GOP 205 31 199
10/21 FL6 Safe GOP »»» Likely GOP 205 31 199
10/21 IL14 Toss Up »»» Leans GOP 205 31 199
10/19 MI11 Leans Dem »»» Toss Up 205 32 198
10/19 OH10 Safe GOP »»» Likely GOP 205 32 198
10/19 CO3 Safe GOP »»» Likely GOP 205 32 198

[Nordberg]

Which means Republicans have 25% chance of keeping the House. That is a highly likely outcome

You are looking at 75% like it is 100%. It is not. You dolts made the same mistake in 2016

No. 1 in 4 is not highly likely It isn't even likely.. Likely is over 50. Highly likely would be much higher. But there is a chance. What a disaster that would be.

[Nordberg]

recent changes.....

No reason to bother going to the polls. The reds have it all locked in.

[PostmodernProphet]

No reason to bother going to the polls. The reds have it all locked in.

works for me....stay home......I've already voted.....

[canceled.2021.2]

No. 1 in 4 is not highly likely It isn't even likely.. Likely is over 50. Highly likely would be much higher. But there is a chance. What a disaster that would be.

You don’t understand statistics or probabilities

As long as there is Russia and Saudi Arabia you will never have to

[Lightbringer]

Looks like my district is going to go Dem for the first time since 1965.