house races....

[PostmodernProphet]

over the last 30 days, the house race has firmed up.....
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...evious_changes

from 206 leaning Dem, 189 leaning Rep 40 tossup....Dems have actually DROPPED to 204, Republicans have added 10 to 199, and toss ups are now 32....

for those 32 seats almost all incumbents lead in the polls....eight are open seats......I predict the demmycrats will take ten in all.....leaving them four short of controlling the House......

[Damocles]

RCP shows Rs at 199, not 189...

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...house_map.html

[jimmymccready]

https://fivethirtyeight.com/ Pubs have a 77.7% chance to take the House, whi is up about 3% in the last eight or nine days

[jimmymccready]

And the OP's link reads:

--------
DATE STATE PREVIOUS STATUS NEW STATUS DEMS TOSS UPS GOP PICK-UP RANGE AVERAGE GAIN
10/11 FL27 Leans Dem »»» Toss Up 204 32 199 Dem +9 to +41 Dem +25.0

[Adolf_Twitler]

According to a well-known expression, Rome's emperor at the time, the decadent and unpopular Nero, “fiddled while Rome burned.” The expression has a double meaning: Not only did Nero play music while his people suffered, but he was an ineffectual leader in a time of crisis.

The next time you hear about a David versus Goliath story, don't think of an underdog. Think of a confident competitor who is more than happy to be underestimated.

[Nordberg]

PP is right. The Repubs will win them all.

[PostmodernProphet]

RCP shows Rs at 199, not 189...

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...house_map.html

typo

[Nordberg]

over the last 30 days, the house race has firmed up.....
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...evious_changes

from 206 leaning Dem, 189 leaning Rep 40 tossup....Dems have actually DROPPED to 204, Republicans have added 10 to 199, and toss ups are now 32....

for those 32 seats almost all incumbents lead in the polls....eight are open seats......I predict the demmycrats will take ten in all.....leaving them four short of controlling the House......

And here is 538 a neutral site .https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...orecast/house/ Dems are over 75 percent shot at taking house.

[countryboy]

And here is 538 a neutral site .https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...orecast/house/ Dems are over 75 percent shot at taking house.

Wait, you think RCP leans right?

[canceled.2021.2]

And here is 538 a neutral site .https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...orecast/house/ Dems are over 75 percent shot at taking house.

Which means Republicans have 25% chance of keeping the House. That is a highly likely outcome

You are looking at 75% like it is 100%. It is not. You dolts made the same mistake in 2016

[Nordberg]

Wait, you think RCP leans right?

yep it does. https://mediabiasfactcheck.com/real-clear-politics/ But from the perspective of the rightys on this board, they are MSNBC in disguise. This board has the farthest right people I have encountered. They are Fox Gnus, brietfart and Infowhores fans.

[PostmodernProphet]

And here is 538 a neutral site .https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...orecast/house/ Dems are over 75 percent shot at taking house.

generic polls are meaningless......sorry.....

[Mason Michaels]

Election day will tell the tale

[Nordberg]

Which means Republicans have 25% chance of keeping the House. That is a highly likely outcome

You are looking at 75% like it is 100%. It is not. You dolts made the same mistake in 2016

No, i am not. You are ascribing to me what you think. i know that the repugs have a bit less than 1 0ut of 4 of winning, now. Actually not highly likely. But a chance.
I thought Hillary lost when Comey made the speech. She was moving and that screeched on the brakes. I did not think she could recover from that. For Comey's reward, Trump fired him.

[archives]

Wait, you think RCP leans right?

It does, slightly right, similar to the Wall Street Journal, and its' polls are informative but often skewed because it throws in the Razzy in the averages

Now if you are going to tell us it is liberal then that means you think the likes of Hannity are mainstream