Why isn’t Florence stronger?

[iewitness]

I am thankful that we are not in a drought. the strong breeze is very cleansing. I appreciate the scrubbing actions of these events. it invigorates the land. it is good. thank you Jesus.

[Nordberg]

Weather is a chaotic system. Small initial and early changes can dramatically change results, I can be generalized but not have accurate and predictable results. that is why when the weather analysis shows a track of a hurricane. it is a range of possibilities. It will likely come out near what they predict, but it is not exact.
Climate, however, is an accumulation of data. It is empirical. If your data shows the global temperature is going up, it is. he data shows it. https://www.skepticalscience.com/cha...-predicted.htm

[tsuke]

because Trump! Were in the Obama economy but in the Trump climate.

[FUCK THE POLICE]

Hurricanes are chaotic events, they are prone to wild swings in intensity like that. Irma weakened a lot too before it hit Florida. Poor Puerto Rico got it pretty bad though.

[FUCK THE POLICE]

When Flo was below Bermuda last Tuesday she was still getting a "push" from a system just to her NE. That push was forcing a much faster and concentrated spin above her, sort of feeding her intensity. When I bring up my ICON tracker and look at last Wednesday, she was coming out from under it and on her own, for lack of a better description. There were no other influences around her. She began to spread out wider, move slower and become less intense (kind of like old age ). She coasted in to shore slower and has been taking her darn time moving along there on the coast.

It

[FUCK THE POLICE]

Actually, it ran into warmer water near the coast and should have at least maintained Cat 4 lol. According to predictions.

Even hurricane forecasters get thrown curveballs by nature. You’d think climatologists would be a tad more circumspect in their predictions.

Climate is different than weather. Does the climate of the Sahara every just suddenly turn into tropical rainforest for a year? No. That like never happens. It takes time. Climate is not chaotic.

[reagansghost]

ultimately it doesn't matter if dopes like Trump's base blow off AGW

what the industrialized nations are doing right now is like almost nothing, atmospheric CO2 is increasing at the same or higher rate

[Irish Exit]

I followed Florence on my app since it was a tropical storm off west Africa.

It built up to a Cat 4 near Bermuda and was predicted to maintain that category once it reached the 84 degree water off the Carolinas. But it dropped down to a Cat 2 instead. It’s still a hurricane and presents a severe threat to affected areas, but apart from the fact it’s basically stalled, it’s not particularly remarkable—for a hurricane.

And hurricanes were happening way long before fossil fuels came into use.

What gives?

There are 3 more coming behind her so maybe you will get your scifi channel doomsday storm fix in.

It is mostly because she came in so far north where the water is cooler. It probably would have rolled out to sea and never even made landfall but for the blocking high pressure system that forced it into land.

and

she ran out of coral reefs to eat. Hurricanes feed off coral reefs and CO2 levels are killing those. Once the reefs are all dead, the planet will never see another hurricane.

[Darth Omar]

There are 3 more coming behind her so maybe you will get your scifi channel doomsday storm fix in.

It is mostly because she came in so far north where the water is cooler. It probably would have rolled out to sea and never even made landfall but for the blocking high pressure system that forced it into land.

and

she ran out of coral reefs to eat. Hurricanes feed off coral reefs and CO2 levels are killing those. Once the reefs are all dead, the planet will never see another hurricane.

Hurricanes feed off warm water and there was plenty of it.

[Irish Exit]

Hurricanes feed off warm water and there was plenty of it.

Hurricanes also do not like wind shear and there was none of it until it approached the shore because of......wait for it......the blocking high pressure sitting inland. It reportedly has broken some record high wave heights along some sections of the coast.

Now

Back to my thing about reefs feeding hurricanes. Scientist just discovered a huge new reef in the Atlantic and now we have 4 hurricanes going at once. If coral isn't causing hurricanes, how do you explain that?

[Stretch]

Isaac's nothing. Helene and Joyce looked locked in and not going anywhere way over off of Africa and Portugal.

[anatta]

Hurricanes feed off warm water and there was plenty of it.

Stretch has got it ( don't listen to these idiots).
The Bermuda high was the steering current.
It moved the storm while the storm could just circle and circle in a tight spiral.
when it detached from the high some of that energy had to go for forwards motion,and as Stretch said it expanded
so the concentrated force was less, but over a greater area

[Cancel 2019.1]

So what was the science behind the ice age melting away

The last age of man got modern enough to blow its self up,few survivors around the planet.
The ice age was nuclear winter.

[Stretch]

Stretch has got it ( don't listen to these idiots).
The Bermuda high was the steering current.
It moved the storm while the storm could just circle and circle in a tight spiral.
when it detached from the high some of that energy had to go for forwards motion,and as Stretch said it expanded
so the concentrated force was less, but over a greater area

By George I think you've got it!

[Stretch]

My tracker will only project out to Monday. Looking at TS Helene it does look like she could be carried up towards the UK. Taking another look on Monday. Even if the projection is correct she won't even be a true TS by the time she arrives after covering all that cold water.