What are the odds we avoid a recession this month?
100 to 0. We won't see a recession for a year or two (if then).
What are the odds we avoid a recession this month?
Actually, it's not. The economy can grow, and there can be inflation. They are 2 completely separate measures, for 2 different things.
The measure that shows the strongest economic growth in 37 years already factors in inflation.
It started MONTHS before Putin attacked Ukraine.
Like when have we EVER had a recession with 3.6% unemployment?
Yep. What's annoying is the corporate press plays along. They turn the deficit into an existential threat during Democratic presidencies,
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Russia and Ukraine. It's in all the papers. Try opening one sometime.
I don't. I take it you don't either. OK. Surrender accepted.
Under pretty much every Democratic president, we have nearly across-the-board improvement. And every time, right-wingers insist it's a coincidence, as it's a coincidence that our nation always falls into recession during Republican presidencies. If you want results, vote Democrat. If you want excuses, vote Republican.
no....seriously.....you're a fucking idiot......higher prices is not growth.....you and the other demmycunts need to stay far far away from things you don't understand...
LOL
Inflation has zilch to do w/ GDP. How hilarious.
idiot......worst inflation in 40 years and you have the balls to call it improvement......you fucks shouldn't be allowed anywhere near government......
I'm sure that you've noticed this as I have, and I've made note of this phenomenon multiple times in my posting history, but liberals such as Mina all but ALWAYS make reference to 'deficit' rather than 'debt'. They also tend to pretend that "lowering the deficit" is something that is somehow worthy of praise.
Regardless of whether debt has increased at a slower or faster rate than it did before, it has still increased all the same. "Reducing the deficit" is still increasing an unsustainable debt and it will still result in a crash.
Interesting, then, that you've yet to be able to identify a single lie. Why is that, do you think?
Just another word for monetary easing...leading to inflation, possibly hyperinflation, and a cash crash.When discussing fiscal stimulus,
You can't print your way to prosperity.anyone with a brain will, of course, discuss changes to the deficit, not changes to the debt, for obvious reasons.
Government is not a business and does not act like a business. False equivalence fallacy.Consider it in the context of a business, instead of a government, to see the point more easily.
No such thing.Let's say you work at a company that had $1 million of sales last year, while running a deficit of $100,000.
No such thing. Attempted proof by contrivance.That guy gets fired and you inherit the company, and cut the advertising budget, leaving the company with a $50,000 deficit, and, say $1.1 million in sales.
Anyone that knows business knows you did a worse job because the business is operating at a loss.Now, someone with no knowledge of business might conclude you did a worse job that your predecessor, since debt is now even higher than you inherited.
Operating at a loss is not the right direction for any business.But among people who aren't blithering imbeciles, that would be seen as a step in the right direction....
Operating at a loss is not the right direction for any business.you relied less on new borrowing to advertise products, but still managed to boost sales.
No. You can't just wish the liabilities away.If you keep heading in the same direction, boosting sales and dropping deficits, debt will become a less and less burdensome problem, relative to revenues,
A business that doesn't can't pay down debt for any length of time is bankrupt.and eventually you'll even be able to start paying down debt.
Yes, or at least 100% over three years. I posted links to confirm that's the general thinking among those of us we a decent education into economics. Now you know and can be slightly less ignorant than before. You're welcome.
Mine's 160. That would be a deadly hot room. You?
Despite repukes and their media sources of anti-Biden lies, smear tactics and disinformation from the beginning of the sewer element, this deplorable influence cannot get around the facts versus its lies to attempt the manipulate the thinking of society for uncivilized and evil reasons:
Kevin McCarthy argued last year that Joe Biden's policies "have stalled our recovery," adding, "Bidenomics is bad for America." Yeah, about that...
As a presidential candidate in 2016, Donald Trump made bold predictions about the kind of economic growth the United States would see if he were elected. Americans would celebrate, the Republican said, as annual GDP growth reached 4 percent for the first time in decades.
It was among the most jarring of Trump's broken promises. Even before the pandemic, GDP growth in Trump's first three years failed to reach 3 percent."
Bottom line:
But as it turns out, the U.S. economy was able to reach growth rates unseen in a generation, but it happened under President Joe Biden."
https://www.msnbc.com/rachel-maddow...economic-growth-reached-38-year-high-n1288089
Fallacy fallacy. Fuel prices affect ever other price and availability, since those other commodities must be shipped. Prices are higher across the board too.You're cherry-picking a single indicator.
Gold is deflating because the dollar is inflating.One could, of course, pick some other indicator and show much lower inflation, or actual deflation.
Prices are higher across the board. A lot higher. Government figures are coming from the Ministry of Truth. They are meaningless.That's why CPI uses the full "basket of goods," while partisans pick and choose which indicator they want to look at based on what's convenient for their argument at the moment.
No such thing as 'core inflation'.Anyway, core inflation rose to a high in April 2021, and is actually down since then.
Making up numbers and using them as data is a fallacy, dude. Argument from randU fallacy.It peaked at about 10.23% (annualized) and now stands at 6.81% (total inflation is currently significantly lower,
No such thing. Buzzword fallacy.but economists typically look at core inflation,
Fuel is used to ship everything. People have to eat.since it ignores the noise of fuel and food prices,
No. They are all going up and fast.which are all over the place from month to month).
Then your 'smart money' is incredibly dumb.I think most people regard 6.81% as too high. But, the "smart money" is betting it's mostly about short-term supply chain snags, rather than long-term money-supply issues.
You are making up shit again. You don't get to speak for everyone. You only get to speak for you. Omniscience fallacy.Like investors have priced the 5-year TIPS spread at 3.04%, meaning they expect inflation to be BELOW AVERAGE over the next five years.