Trump Has Only 12% Chance of Winning Election

[Guno צְבִי]

Donald Trump's chances of victory in the November election are slim, with the likelihood of him winning the popular vote even less probable, according to the latest forecast from The Economist.

The model from the weekly magazine currently projects that Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden is "very likely to beat" Trump on November 3. The president has only a 1 in 7 (or 12 percent) chance of winning in the Electoral College and just a 1 in 20 (or 3 percent) chance of winning the most votes nationwide. The forecast predicts that the president will garner just 193 electoral votes.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/poli...ning-most-votes-forecast-projects/ar-BB183hKB

 

[Yakuda]

Donald Trump's chances of victory in the November election are slim, with the likelihood of him winning the popular vote even less probable, according to the latest forecast from The Economist.

The model from the weekly magazine currently projects that Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden is "very likely to beat" Trump on November 3. The president has only a 1 in 7 (or 12 percent) chance of winning in the Electoral College and just a 1 in 20 (or 3 percent) chance of winning the most votes nationwide. The forecast predicts that the president will garner just 193 electoral votes.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/poli...ning-most-votes-forecast-projects/ar-BB183hKB

What were his chances against the talking pig in a pant suit?

 

[IBDaMann]

Donald Trump's chances of victory in the November election are slim,

I have to admit that I have never before heard "absolutely certain" referred to as "chances are slim."

... with the likelihood of him winning the popular vote even less probable,

... because we know how crucial the popular vote is. Why Presidential candidates focus so heavily on the electoral college is beyond me. I'm glad to see that at least you understand what's important.

The model from the weekly magazine currently projects that Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden is "very likely to beat" Trump on November 3.

Oh yeah. The entire country is chomping at the bit to vote for Biden, especially now that Kamala Harris' likeability has been added to the ticket.

The president has only a 1 in 7 (or 12 percent) chance of winning in the Electoral College

It's kind of like the percentage of people who will actually fall for this.

... and just a 1 in 20 (or 3 percent) chance of winning the most votes nationwide. The forecast predicts that the president will garner just 193 electoral votes.

Trump will win with more than 300 electoral votes.

 

[Eagle_Eye]

Donald Trump's chances of victory in the November election are slim, with the likelihood of him winning the popular vote even less probable, according to the latest forecast from The Economist.

The model from the weekly magazine currently projects that Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden is "very likely to beat" Trump on November 3. The president has only a 1 in 7 (or 12 percent) chance of winning in the Electoral College and just a 1 in 20 (or 3 percent) chance of winning the most votes nationwide. The forecast predicts that the president will garner just 193 electoral votes.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/poli...ning-most-votes-forecast-projects/ar-BB183hKB

Keep believing in those left wing polls Gunga Din.

 

[LeeDog]

I have to admit that I have never before heard "absolutely certain" referred to as "chances are slim."


... because we know how crucial the popular vote is. Why Presidential candidates focus so heavily on the electoral college is beyond me. I'm glad to see that at least you understand what's important.


Oh yeah. The entire country is chomping at the bit to vote for Biden, especially now that Kamala Harris' likeability has been added to the ticket.


It's kind of like the percentage of people who will actually fall for this.


Trump will win with more than 300 electoral votes.


]

 

[IBDaMann]

View attachment 16641

That whole notion of leftists needing someone to do their thinking for them really becomes illuminated in the light of memes being all they have contribute.

Have you not been authorized to say anything? Has the DNC not given you a speaking role?

 

[Nordberg]

Keep believing in those left wing polls Gunga Din.

Keep cavalierly ignoring them and you may learn the hard way. Those are not left-wing.

 

[Nordberg]

It is scary that trump, a complete and utter selfish incompetent jerk who fucked up everything he touched, still has a 1 in 8 chance of winning.

 

[Eagle_Eye]

Keep cavalierly ignoring them and you may learn the hard way. Those are not left-wing.

Like I did in 2016?

 

[Iolo/Penderyn]

Donald Trump's chances of victory in the November election are slim, with the likelihood of him winning the popular vote even less probable, according to the latest forecast from The Economist.

The model from the weekly magazine currently projects that Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden is "very likely to beat" Trump on November 3. The president has only a 1 in 7 (or 12 percent) chance of winning in the Electoral College and just a 1 in 20 (or 3 percent) chance of winning the most votes nationwide. The forecast predicts that the president will garner just 193 electoral votes.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/poli...ning-most-votes-forecast-projects/ar-BB183hKB

Take care - you'll be encouraging them out there in their caves. To Trumpers 12%, being more than the sum of their fingers and toes, is an infinite number!

 

[Dutch Uncle]

Donald Trump's chances of victory in the November election are slim, with the likelihood of him winning the popular vote even less probable, according to the latest forecast from The Economist.

The model from the weekly magazine currently projects that Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden is "very likely to beat" Trump on November 3. The president has only a 1 in 7 (or 12 percent) chance of winning in the Electoral College and just a 1 in 20 (or 3 percent) chance of winning the most votes nationwide. The forecast predicts that the president will garner just 193 electoral votes.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/poli...ning-most-votes-forecast-projects/ar-BB183hKB

Thanks for the link. I think Trump has a greater chance of winning than 12% due to the fact this is more about the "D" and the "R" votes than Trump the Nutjob-in-Chief. Even if Trump did win, as slim as that might be, I think Pence and the Republicans would ease him out of office with the 25th Amendment, maybe even before the Inauguration.

 

[Dutch Uncle]

Like I did in 2016?

Here's the cold reality facing the nation:

Notice the ~40% who don't vote and the relatively small percentages of party members.

IMO, this election will turn on three main factors (in no particular order):

1. How many of the previous "non-voters" decide to suddenly show up
2. Which way the majority of Independents go
3. How many party members decide or are forced to sit it out.

 

[Eagle_Eye]

Here's the cold reality facing the nation:

Notice the ~40% who don't vote and the relatively small percentages of party members.

IMO, this election will turn on three main factors (in no particular order):

1. How many of the previous "non-voters" decide to suddenly show up
2. Which way the majority of Independents go
3. How many party members decide or are forced to sit it out.

I agree and this year with covid19 I expect a much smaller turnout at the polls. I even ordered an absentee ballot. 1st time since my active duty days.

 

[Dutch Uncle]

I agree and this year with covid19 I expect a much smaller turnout at the polls. I even ordered an absentee ballot. 1st time since my active duty days.

Good. I haven't done so since, living in a rural area, early voting is easy. Plus the odds are both my wife and I have already had it... but haven't been tested.

 

[Nordberg]

Like I did in 2016?

????? How does anyone know what you did then, and why does that matter?

 

[John Barron]

Trump loses votes every time he talks.

 

[StoneByStone]

Donald Trump's chances of victory in the November election are slim, with the likelihood of him winning the popular vote even less probable, according to the latest forecast from The Economist.

The model from the weekly magazine currently projects that Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden is "very likely to beat" Trump on November 3. The president has only a 1 in 7 (or 12 percent) chance of winning in the Electoral College and just a 1 in 20 (or 3 percent) chance of winning the most votes nationwide. The forecast predicts that the president will garner just 193 electoral votes.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/poli...ning-most-votes-forecast-projects/ar-BB183hKB

 

[Micawber]

He has a zero percent chance of winning.

 

[Tranquillus in Exile]

Trump will win with more than 300 electoral votes.

If he wins the popular vote as well, he would be the second Republican to do that in the past thirty years!

Sadly, I have to report that the only Republican who achieved it (in 2004) didn't vote for Trump in 2016.

 

[Hawkeye10]

Donald Trump's chances of victory in the November election are slim, with the likelihood of him winning the popular vote even less probable, according to the latest forecast from The Economist.

The model from the weekly magazine currently projects that Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden is "very likely to beat" Trump on November 3. The president has only a 1 in 7 (or 12 percent) chance of winning in the Electoral College and just a 1 in 20 (or 3 percent) chance of winning the most votes nationwide. The forecast predicts that the president will garner just 193 electoral votes.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/poli...ning-most-votes-forecast-projects/ar-BB183hKB

I have two words for you: Covid Model.