Willard needs at least four!

Jarod

Jarod

Well-known member
Contributor
So, according to my analysis, Willard Romney needs at least four of the following states to win an electoral victory.

Those of you who belive he has a reasonable chance of winning, what four do you belive he can pull out of his hat?

Iowa
Ohio
Virginia
Florida
Nevada
Colorado
New Hampshire


Not that he can do it, but note that many combanitions like only winning Colorado, New Hampshire and Iowa wont do the trick.
 
Jarod said:
So, according to my analysis, Willard Romney needs at least four of the following states to win an electoral victory.

Those of you who belive he has a reasonable chance of winning, what four do you belive he can pull out of his hat?

Iowa
Ohio
Virginia
Florida
Nevada
Colorado
New Hampshire


Not that he can do it, but note that many combanitions like only winning Colorado, New Hampshire and Iowa wont do the trick.
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So you believe Osama has it set it concrete.
 
USFREEDOM911 said:
So you believe Osama has it set it concrete.
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I just dont see how it will turn around that much in 6 weeks. I guess if Mitt can get Florida, Ohio, Colorado and Virginia... but Florida and Ohio are looking less and less likely every poll that comes out.
 
Jarod said:
I just dont see how it will turn around that much in 6 weeks. I guess if Mitt can get Florida, Ohio, Colorado and Virginia... but Florida and Ohio are looking less and less likely every poll that comes out.
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So no theories?
 
I believe I've already laid out my theory.....I expect Romney to win Florida, NC, VA and Iowa.....
after that he wins if he wins any one of either PA, OH, MI.....or, he can win by taking WI and any one of CO, NV....or he can win if he takes CO and NV and NH....

that's theory....in practice, I expect Romney to win OH, MI and WI......probably NV, perhaps CO...

my rule of thumb is to look at any PPP poll and subtract five points from Obama's total.......that's usually how far they are above the average of all other polls.....that should put you about on track.....
 
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I agree Willard will likely get NC and Iowa.

The President will win PA MI, NV. I put Florida at a 65/35 Proposition favoring President Obama. Ohio is better for the President than Florida.
Colorado is looking 50/50.
 
Here is why I think Florida may be falling away for Romney, both Ryan and Obama hit AARP. Obama got cheers, Ryan got boos and cries of "no!". Old people are in the 47% and they were just told that Romney doesn't really care about their votes. I know, he didn't say it like that, but that is how it has come out. I personally know one senior who had a Romney sign in his yard until yesterday. His grandson lost an eye in Iraq and is one of the 47% and he is retired, gets Social Security and Medicare. Tomorrow, he will have a Johnson sign in his yard.
 
There are a bunch of new battleground state polls in the news Friday...


The NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist Poll surveyed Wisconsin, Colorado, and Iowa for instance, and found President Obama ahead among likely voters in all three.


And the leads aren’t margin-of-error stuff – Obama’s up by 5 points in Wisconsin, 5 points in Colorado, and 8 points in the Hawkeye State.


In Nevada, Obama’s up by 3 points, 49 to 46 percent, according to a recent CNN/ORC International survey.



And in Michigan the margin is 9 points, 39 to 30 percent.






http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/DC-Decoder/Decoder-Wire/2012/0921/Battleground-state-polls-Are-there-any-positives-for-Mitt-Romney
 
USFREEDOM911 said:
How do they look for Osama?
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Maybe you didn't hear. He's dead. Our president got him.

osama.jpg
 
I want all you liberals to take heart from the Detroit News poll released today.....it shows Obama has a commanding lead of 14 points in Michigan.....no need for liberals to be concerned.....come November they can sit in their living rooms, content that their votes are not really needed......you all just stay home and relax......don't even stop to consider that there are hundreds of thousands fewer people in Detroit than there were four years ago.....don't let that concern you in the least......whatever you do, don't pay attention to the Baydoun/Foster poll commissioned by the DNC just eight days ago that showed Obama's lead to be 2 points....

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/mi/michigan_romney_vs_obama-1811.html
 
Jarod said:
So, according to my analysis, Willard Romney needs at least four of the following states to win an electoral victory.

Those of you who belive he has a reasonable chance of winning, what four do you belive he can pull out of his hat?

Iowa
Ohio
Virginia
Florida
Nevada
Colorado
New Hampshire


Not that he can do it, but note that many combanitions like only winning Colorado, New Hampshire and Iowa wont do the trick.
Click to expand...

All except Nevada
 
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