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Alik Bahshi
06-21-2013, 10:54 PM
Alik Bahshi

"Turkish game" on "Grand Chessboard"


In contrast to the well-known in the theory of chess "Vienna game" "The Turkish game" is relatively new and not yet thoroughly Research all its options, but it has played Recep Erdogan to "Grand Chessboard" by Zbigniew Bjezinski. Sure, you could call it, and "Debut Erdogan," but the fact is that it would have played out any other player, because due to the vital necessity, and not a personal initiative of Prime Minister Erdogan, who, to his credit it must be said as it is brilliant, and how well the party will continue to be seen.

Turkey today is a successful and harmonious developing country, shows a marked increase as the traditional Turkish agricultural and industrial production, which, and this is important, at a faster pace than agricultural. Naturally is interested in peace and stability, but the Middle East is far from a prerequisite for prosperity and care to provide a favorable political climate in the region duty of political leadership.

Against the background of recent events the Middle East, Turkey, due to pragmatic policy Erdogan, came very prepared for the threshold of the inevitable future changes in the region. The definition of "pragmatic" gives a certain amount of cold practicality and cynicism, but if we remember the words of Andrei Sakharov humanist that "ultimately a moral choice is the most pragmatic," namely morality and is the main component in the policy of the Turkish Prime Minister. According to my understanding, Erdogan can be attributed to the leaders who are choosing the right strategic goal raschityvaya advance their political moves to an end, and, most importantly, their consequences. As for morality, which is usually not compatible with the policy, then try to run the analysis show that it is difficult to accuse Erdogan of immorality of his policy.

Geopolitical picture around Turkey extraordinarily complex. In human history, probably no more than the desired point on the Earth for the possession of which fought during all civilizations and eras. Being at the crossroads of Europe and Asia, Turkey has been the subject of claims of many states and, especially, Russia. The history of relations between Russia and Turkey, is a story of constant wars in which Russia was the aggressor.
Immediately after World War II to the share of the Turkish people, the threat of dismemberment of the country on the sector and the loss of independence, came a fierce struggle with the Franco-Greek-Italian coalition and the Armenian nationalists, which under the leadership of Ataturk was a convincing victory. Since then, relations with Greece and Armenia remain hostile. These include, and Bulgaria, which held the government program "Bulgarization Turks", in which the Bulgarian Turks proposed to change the name of the Slavic or leave the country.

Next Iran, a country which is quite a long historical period, there was no war, and yet the relationship can not be considered friendly, especially given axis Moscow-Yerevan-Tehran political ekonomichekaya aims to prevent, first, the supply of energy from the Caspian Basin through Turkey to Europe, bypassing Russia, and secondly, to create a continuous geographic corridor between Turkey and Azerbaijan, which can alarm in Iran, which includes the South Azerbaijan. By the way, the main reason for Russia's aggression against Georgia in 2008, it cut the Baku-Ceyhan oil pipeline that passes through the Georgian territory, and to put an end to the "Nabucco" project, which would deprive the Russian monopoly on the sale of gas to Europe. Russian Foreign Ministry has officially filed a note of protest against laying a trans-Caspian gas pipeline under the Caspian Sea, which provides for "Nabucco", citing the danger of seismic activity area. Of course Russia will use its best efforts to implement the death vospripyatstvovat its economy project. In general, according to narostaet inflame passions around the Caspian Sea, to be major political fuss that has the potential to develop into a world-scale military conflict. Kremlin is only to give the go-ahead to Yerevan to set fire to a smoldering Karabakh conflict and war will break out again, and the fact that this time will not be without the participation of Turkey, no doubt.

Now as to the direction of the southern Arabian. Here, too, Turkey unenviable situation. As a strategic partner of Israel, Turkey unwittingly supported Israel in its confrontation with the Arabs and would not consider opromenchivo Arab majority in the Middle East. Today, the Arab-Israeli conflict is a major destabilizing factor in the region. It should be noted, a military alliance with Israel, Turkey, except regionaalnyh problems, did not give any benefits. No doubt Erdogan knows that reckless policy of Tel Aviv is Israel to fatal isolation and the probability of being a pariah of the international community, making the company its ally, Turkey is unlikely to suit.
As a result, Turkey's standing in front of a closed door in the EU, in an environment hostile country strategic vision is far from rosy. It is this fact and forced Ankara to take political steps, where still possible to change the situation.
For this purpose, since the Second Lebanon War, Turkey undertakes mediation attempts to mitigate the level of confrontation over its unruly ally with the Arabs, but Israel, stubbornly ignoring international opinion, continuing the policy of occupation and building of settlements on Palestinian territory. Ankara can not see the trend of deterioration of the situation around Israel. Israel not only plays in the information field, but there is not successful and hostilities. All under increasing pressure from the Arab Israel was forced to leave Lebanon, occupying army to withdraw from the Gaza Strip, destroying Jewish settlements. The defeat in the second Lebanon recognize Israeli politicians and army command, for the war aims were not achieved. Military failures occur not because the Israeli army poorly equipped, but because it is at war with the civilian population. In order to win the war in the first place needs an opponent, his army. Throwing bombs among the defenseless population can hardly achieve anything but hate, anger and radicalization of the political forces of the Palestinian resistance as an example of the party "Hamas". The world has been struck by violent operation "Cast Lead", the use of illicit phosphorus bombs even in such a densely populated area like Gaza. The international community has condemned Israel. Swept the country antiaizrailskie demonstration was not spared, and Turkey, and Erdogan accused Israel of numerous victims among the civilian population of Gaza, only expressed the opinion of the Turkish community in the Israeli army. At this point, we can say, and began the rift between the two allies. This was followed by the demonstrative humiliation of Turkish Ambassador Ahmed Chellikkola the Israeli Foreign Ministry, where, after an official protest was expressed in about the show on Turkish TV movie "Walk of wolves," which is the episode with the ugly actions of "Mossad".

Turkey is a democratic country and a sign of this statement is irrefutable fact the active participation of the Turkish people in politics and not only in the election of the government, but also in various public, including international humanitarian organizations to which the Turkish government has nothing to do, such as to perturb the Israeli power movie "Walk the wolves" and to deliver humanitarian aid to Gaza. Israel charges the Turkish government organizations flotilla «Free Gaza» totally groundless, because you can just as well accuse the Government of Ireland, France, America, the citizens who participated in the flotilla. Israel's refusal to completely just demands Turkey to apologize and pay compensation for the killing of nine Turkish citizens during the night attack and even in international waters Israeli commandos on the Turkish ship "Mavi Marmara" finally made it impossible to return to the previous level of strategic partnership. Moreover, Israel hastily concluded in defiance of Turkey military cooperation with Greece and Cyprus, which naturally was seen by Ankara as nothing but a hostile move.
Thus, at the official level of international relations, it is Israel actually initiated the break the alliance with Turkey. Moreover, Israel has defined himself against its former ally, despite more than loyalty to the Turkish Jews throughout history. Even the participation of Jews in the heaviest for Turkey Gallipoli battle of World War I on the side of the British and French had no effect on the Jews living in Turkey. True participation consisted in glorious quartermaster "Mule Corps' number 650 and 750 mules led by Trumpeldor, and maybe that's because the Turks themselves, and did not take offense, but the fact you have one.
It is hard to imagine that Erdogan predicted the "Arab spring", but it just so happens by force of circumstances, which occurred on the eve of the Turkish-Israeli rift strategic alliance, led Turkey to lead regional state, the economic power of the country, thanks to Erdogan, was supplemented sensible policy.

Turkey, unlike Israel, as a truly democratic state supported the democratic progress in the Arab world. Erdogan immediately boldly spoke out against the dictatorial regimes in the Arab nation, which certainly will be counted a positive assessment of his political career. By the way, a different ratio of the two former allies to the ongoing democratic progress in the Arab world demonstrates who are really committed to the principles of democracy. Israel claims to be the only democratic country in the Middle East entirely without foundation, and as a country that has no constitution, the country, where there is no separation of legislative and executive powers, the country in which religion is not separated from the state, the country's policy of apartheid against in the occupied territory, the country in which there is no market economy can be called democratic.
Israeli fears are understandable before awakening of the Arab nation, for the departure from the political scene of dictators, for which the main priority was to maintain his personal power, disappear obstacle to the unification of the nation and solve national problems. Having lost an ally in Turkey, Israel alone is in the region before the Arab majority, and if the American taxpayer understand besmyslennost instigated by George Bush wars in Afghanistan and Iraq over the alien American interests, Israel, while maintaining its aggressive policy, the path to oblivion booked.

Rupture of relations with Turkey, Israel will try to explain the policy of Islamization, which allegedly holds Erdogan, without citing a single fact of Islamization. What's wrong in that raze understood by the term Islamization! To label, Israeli politicians do not bother what is on their own understanding of the "Islamization". Maybe in Turkey in secular schools teach Islam, like Judaism in Israel, which is a compulsory subject. Maybe that Turkey welcomed the fall of the dictatorial regimes in some Arab countries? And America with France and Britain, which help people in revolt to overthrow the usurpers can be accused of Islamization. On the other hand the religious laws in Israel Halacha raised to the rank of state, just as the laws of Sharia in Iran. Incidentally Judaism contains racism does not exist in Islam.

Erdogan today is a model for the Arab countries, which, if democratization may well be on the path of creating associations or political-economic union by type of EU, and implement such a way it is much easier than creating a Turkic union for reasons of anti-Russia, Iran, Armenia and China.